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Daily network digest

Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.76× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.110
Clustering
0.332
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03190 6.76× 54.5% 19.4% AXSUSD, STORJUSD, FETUSD, APEUSD, LPTUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02664 5.65× 50.2% 10.9% BTRSTUSD, LTCBTC, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, XRPBTC
ETHBTC 3 0.02106 4.46× 55.0% 25.1% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, TVKUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01972 4.18× 40.8% 14.2% PAXGUSD, HBARUSD, XAUTUSD, TVKUSD, VTHOUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01969 4.17× 34.6% 2.8% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, NKNUSD, GHSTUSD, FXUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01957 4.15× 40.3% 15.6% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, BTTUSD, XAUTUSD, TVKUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01941 4.11× 33.6% 4.3% NKNUSD, SGBUSD, GRTUSD, BTRSTUSD, LPTUSD
HNTUSD 8 0.01751 3.71× 44.5% 20.4% KRLUSD, DYDXUSD, NEOUSD, MATICUSD, FTMUSD
FXUSD 9 0.01206 2.56× 24.6% 10.0% AUCTIONUSD, XRPAUD, MATICUSD, MLNUSD, DYDXEUR
REPUSD 10 0.01169 2.48× 29.9% 8.5% ICPUSD, AUCTIONUSD, SGBUSD, HBARUSD, SRMUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.031900.00911 +0.02279
HNTUSD 0.017510.00597 +0.01154
ETHBTC 0.021060.01320 +0.00786
ORCAUSD 0.010770.00335 +0.00742
FXUSD 0.012060.00465 +0.00740

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.011690.02869 -0.01700
XRPBTC 0.019570.03190 -0.01233
XYOUSD 0.002480.01347 -0.01099
TRACUSD 0.003560.01304 -0.00947
FORTUSD 0.004280.01158 -0.00730

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.76× the influence of an average node across 634 pairs.

pairs
634
Density
0.024
Clustering
0.344
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01224 7.76× 1.9% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 2 0.01163 7.38× 1.6% 0.2% PKRJPY
BRLCLP 3 0.01020 6.47× 14.1% 3.8% KRWMYR, XAGCNY, AUDFJD, XAGEUR, FJDGBP
RUBEUR 4 0.01014 6.43× 4.1% 2.4% BRLCAD, SGDBRL, MXNCLP, RWFGBP, AUDBRL
JPYTHB 5 0.00864 5.48× 6.0% 1.4% TWDCHF, AUDNZD, CHFJPY, ILSNOK, CADILS
COPUSD 6 0.00844 5.35× 13.7% 3.6% XAGJPY, ZARIDR, DKKRUB, THBUSD, RUBNOK
DKKRUB 7 0.00844 5.35× 11.2% 3.8% JPYMYR, ILSUSD, USDNOK, ILSJOD, ILSPLN
RUBNOK 8 0.00816 5.17× 13.1% 3.3% JPYNOK, JPYMYR, NOKJPY, XAGCNY, JODILS
RUBPLN 9 0.00720 4.56× 10.4% 5.1% XAGRUB, JPYMYR, JODILS, USDNOK, USDRWF
EURTWD 10 0.00690 4.37× 4.7% 0.0%

Rising influence vs 2024-11-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.012240.00032 +0.01191
JPYPKR 0.011630.00032 +0.01131
JPYTHB 0.008640.00032 +0.00832
COPUSD 0.008440.00111 +0.00734
BRLCLP 0.010200.00296 +0.00724

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.001340.02405 -0.02271
CNYZAR 0.001950.01300 -0.01105
USDNGN 0.002110.01253 -0.01041
MDLUSD 0.001720.00950 -0.00779
LKRZAR 0.000540.00783 -0.00729

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.