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Daily network digest

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.76× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.117
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.03190 6.76× 68.7% 13.7% SRMUSD, MAGICUSD, ICXUSD, LCXUSD, MLNUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02869 6.08× 56.9% 16.1% TIAUSD, XAUTUSD, VETUSD, PAXGUSD, ASMUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.02373 5.03× 52.1% 7.6% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, TIAUSD, LCXUSD, FORTUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.02226 4.72× 41.7% 28.9% ELAUSD, AERGOUSD, SOLUSD, UMAUSD, RLYUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.02013 4.27× 50.2% 24.2% SKLUSD, RNDRUSD, LPTUSD, FORTHUSD, XDCUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01483 3.14× 32.7% 10.0% OGNUSD, MDTUSD, ANKRUSD, BTCEUR, BONDUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01404 2.98× 39.3% 26.5% SKLUSD, GNOUSD, LPTUSD, IMXUSD, FARMUSD
XYOUSD 8 0.01347 2.86× 34.6% 10.4% USTUSD, DOTUSD, XRPUSD, BTCAUD, SWFTCUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.01320 2.80× 35.5% 28.4% XRPBTC, REPUSD, QTUMUSD, RARIUSD, XDCUSD
TRACUSD 10 0.01304 2.76× 40.3% 10.4% DYDXUSD, TRBUSD, DYDXEUR, MKRUSD, BTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-11-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XYOUSD 0.013470.00457 +0.00890
TRACUSD 0.013040.00468 +0.00836
KRLUSD 0.023730.01581 +0.00792
FORTUSD 0.011580.00405 +0.00753
LCXUSD 0.011410.00388 +0.00753

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001680.01864 -0.01696
XDCUSD 0.014830.02676 -0.01193
BTCJPY 0.003560.01199 -0.00843
CROUSD 0.003710.00955 -0.00584
USTUSD 0.006960.01267 -0.00571

Foreign exchange

BRLJPY was the most central name, carrying 14.41× the influence of an average node across 599 pairs.

pairs
599
Density
0.022
Clustering
0.333
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLJPY 1 0.02405 14.41× 6.4% 0.8% LKRZAR, MURUSD, MURGBP, BRLMXN, ZAREGP
CNYZAR 2 0.01300 7.78× 3.2% 2.3% BRLEUR, MXNARS, BRLCHF, CHFKRW, NZDKRW
USDNGN 3 0.01253 7.50× 7.0% 3.5% GBPZMW, NGNUSD, BRLSGD, BRLHKD, SGDBRL
NGNUSD 4 0.01069 6.40× 4.8% 3.7% GBPZMW, USDZMW, BRLZAR, ZARKES, ZARBRL
MDLUSD 5 0.00950 5.69× 4.5% 0.5% NGNUSD, RUBEUR, USDALL
GBPNGN 6 0.00908 5.44× 1.5% 1.0% EURLBP, USDFJD, ARSCLP, FJDUSD, CLPCNY
LKRZAR 7 0.00783 4.69× 2.5% 1.8% CHFKRW, BRLEUR, AUDKRW, NZDKRW, CNYZAR
CHFKRW 8 0.00771 4.62× 7.5% 0.2% BRLJPY
NZDKRW 9 0.00759 4.55× 7.5% 0.2% BRLJPY
DKKRUB 10 0.00754 4.52× 6.9% 1.7% CHFMYR, JPYMYR, USDSCR, XAGMXN, JODILS

Rising influence vs 2024-11-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.024050.00047 +0.02358
CNYZAR 0.013000.00139 +0.01160
USDNGN 0.012530.00105 +0.01148
GBPNGN 0.009080.00252 +0.00655
IDRHKD 0.007030.00110 +0.00593

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYCLP 0.004200.01371 -0.00951
RUBUSD 0.002050.01097 -0.00892
USDSZL 0.004380.01086 -0.00648
CHFRUB 0.001050.00659 -0.00555
EURRUB 0.002920.00809 -0.00517

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.