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Daily network digest

Monday, November 18, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.95× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.109
Clustering
0.344
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02794 5.95× 49.5% 17.9% AVAXUSD, XTZUSD, XDCUSD, VTHOUSD, RLYUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02676 5.70× 51.4% 11.3% XRPBTC, TUSD, IMXUSD, CVCUSD, GNOUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02514 5.35× 44.8% 14.2% ASMUSD, IOTUSD, LPTUSD, SRMUSD, HIGHUSD
TSDUSD 4 0.01864 3.97× 46.7% 32.5% EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD, ETCUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.01581 3.37× 40.1% 5.7% LTCBTC, XDCUSD, XRPBTC, TRXUSD, XRDUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01501 3.20× 26.4% 18.4% CROUSD, VTHOUSD, XDCUSD, ARPAUSD, JSTUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01309 2.79× 30.7% 8.0% REPUSD, LPTUSD, IMXUSD, ASMUSD, CVXUSD
USTUSD 8 0.01267 2.70× 36.8% 29.2% MASKUSD, LTCEUR, CTSIUSD, YGGUSD, AMPUSD
JSTUSD 9 0.01214 2.59× 34.4% 10.8% REPUSD, CLVUSD, PAXGUSD, FILUSD, PNKUSD
BTCJPY 10 0.01199 2.55× 25.0% 36.8% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, NEXOUSD, QNTUSD, LTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-11-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.026760.00955 +0.01721
REPUSD 0.025140.01200 +0.01315
USTUSD 0.012670.00416 +0.00851
XRPBTC 0.027940.02024 +0.00770
TLOSUSD 0.011900.00446 +0.00744

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.008540.03470 -0.02616
ETHBTC 0.008370.02204 -0.01367
HNTUSD 0.010150.01948 -0.00934
KRLUSD 0.015810.02422 -0.00842
ORCAUSD 0.003950.01197 -0.00802

Foreign exchange

JPYCLP was the most central name, carrying 8.39× the influence of an average node across 612 pairs.

pairs
612
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
JPYCLP 1 0.01371 8.39× 7.9% 2.8% NZDTRY, JPYIDR, RUBEUR, ZMWUSD, AUDTRY
RUBUSD 2 0.01097 6.72× 0.7% 0.7% CHFRUB, CADRUB, RUBCHF, ARSCOP
USDSZL 3 0.01086 6.65× 15.5% 3.6% RUBNOK, RUBPLN, DKKRUB, USDPGK, ILSAUD
EURRUB 4 0.00809 4.95× 5.2% 4.3% GBPSCR, ARSCAD, SGDARS, ARSCHF, HKDARS
NGNUSD 5 0.00774 4.74× 5.1% 4.6% MXNBRL, CLPMXN, GBPSCR, MXNCLP, SCRUSD
NOKAED 6 0.00666 4.07× 12.3% 4.7% RUBPLN, USDPEN, DKKRUB, SEKJPY, USDDOP
CHFRUB 7 0.00659 4.03× 1.1% 0.2% RUBUSD
GBPZMW 8 0.00627 3.83× 5.4% 2.6% JPYCLP, ZARTRY, GBPSZL, GBPLSL, MXNCLP
USDPGK 9 0.00626 3.83× 14.6% 4.4% ZMWZAR, NOKAED, JPYSAR, USDSZL, ILSAUD
RUBEUR 10 0.00599 3.67× 4.7% 1.5% MXNCOP, USDDJF, GBPRWF, HKDBRL, CADBRL

Rising influence vs 2024-11-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYCLP 0.013710.00302 +0.01069
RUBUSD 0.010970.00083 +0.01015
USDSZL 0.010860.00419 +0.00667
CHFRUB 0.006590.00054 +0.00606
MXNCOP 0.005400.00069 +0.00471

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.000470.01495 -0.01448
SCRUSD 0.001440.01379 -0.01235
USDALL 0.002030.01128 -0.00925
USDNGN 0.001050.00858 -0.00753
HUFPLN 0.000500.00724 -0.00674

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.