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Daily network digest

Sunday, November 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.36× the influence of an average node across 212 assets.

assets
212
Density
0.105
Clustering
0.322
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03470 7.36× 57.3% 23.2% AXSUSD, FETUSD, STORJUSD, XRPBTC, GALAUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02422 5.14× 42.7% 10.4% BTRSTUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, ORNUSD, LTCBTC
ETHBTC 3 0.02204 4.67× 54.0% 25.1% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD, DASHUSD, QNTUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.02024 4.29× 41.7% 14.7% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, LINKUSD, TVKUSD, BTTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01994 4.23× 36.0% 12.8% HBARUSD, PAXGUSD, TVKUSD, VTHOUSD, MASKUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.01948 4.13× 46.9% 22.3% FTMUSD, AAVEUSD, KRLUSD, OMGUSD, 1INCHUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01490 3.16× 34.1% 5.7% MKRUSD, KRLUSD, GHSTUSD, NKNUSD, FXUSD
PAXGUSD 8 0.01379 2.92× 28.0% 5.7% NKNUSD, OXTUSD, SGBUSD, BTRSTUSD, AVAXUSD
FXUSD 9 0.01285 2.72× 25.6% 9.5% AUCTIONUSD, XRPAUD, MLNUSD, BTRSTUSD, XRPUSD
TIAUSD 10 0.01251 2.65× 27.5% 11.4% NEOUSD, CRVUSD, BOBAUSD, LTCEUR, BTRSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.034700.00872 +0.02597
HNTUSD 0.019480.00591 +0.01357
ORCAUSD 0.011970.00281 +0.00916
ETHBTC 0.022040.01299 +0.00905
FXUSD 0.012850.00410 +0.00875

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.012000.02880 -0.01681
XRPBTC 0.020240.03275 -0.01251
XYOUSD 0.002640.01206 -0.00942
PAXGUSD 0.013790.02181 -0.00803
TRACUSD 0.004030.01126 -0.00723

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.