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Daily network digest

Tuesday, November 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.85× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.115
Clustering
0.327
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03186 6.85× 53.7% 26.2% AXSUSD, KRLUSD, STORJUSD, GALAUSD, FETUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.01970 4.24× 48.1% 26.2% 1INCHUSD, FISUSD, NEOUSD, DYDXUSD, OMGUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.01597 3.43× 37.4% 15.9% VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, PAXGUSD, HBARUSD, WAVESUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.01438 3.09× 39.3% 23.8% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, TVKUSD, LUNAUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.01414 3.04× 29.9% 5.1% NKNUSD, SGBUSD, AVAXUSD, KRLUSD, XMRUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01410 3.03× 33.6% 19.2% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, LINKUSD, BTTUSD, XLMUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01406 3.02× 35.5% 5.6% KRLUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, OXTUSD, MKRUSD
KRLUSD 8 0.01341 2.88× 26.2% 12.6% BTRSTUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, DARUSD, ZENUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01302 2.80× 36.0% 13.1% EGLDUSD, FORTHUSD, FISUSD, AERGOUSD, AUCTIONUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01188 2.55× 28.5% 15.9% ICPUSD, HBARUSD, AUCTIONUSD, SGBUSD, CLVUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.031860.00849 +0.02337
HNTUSD 0.019700.00758 +0.01212
ORCAUSD 0.013020.00301 +0.01001
FXUSD 0.011300.00478 +0.00652
ZENUSD 0.009260.00307 +0.00619

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.014100.02919 -0.01508
REPUSD 0.011880.02287 -0.01098
KRLUSD 0.013410.02388 -0.01047
XDCUSD 0.006060.01595 -0.00989
PAXGUSD 0.014140.02238 -0.00825

Foreign exchange

SCRUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.51× the influence of an average node across 616 pairs.

pairs
616
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.330
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SCRUSD 1 0.00894 5.51× 15.4% 5.2% XAGBRL, XAGCAD, XAGAUD, XAGMXN, USDCNH
PENCOP 2 0.00809 4.98× 1.1% 0.7% MXNPEN, XAGARS, PENBRL, XAUARS
USDALL 3 0.00805 4.96× 6.0% 5.7% MXNJPY, JPYMXN, CHFINR, JPYIDR, USDBIF
XAUZAR 4 0.00721 4.44× 14.1% 9.3% XAGCNY, XAGGBP, XAGEUR, XAGMXN, XAGCAD
EURRUB 5 0.00704 4.34× 12.8% 8.1% ARSJPY, SGDJPY, JPYMYR, ARSMXN, CLPAUD
USDSCR 6 0.00657 4.05× 13.3% 4.7% GBPKWD, JPYGBP, USDKRW, CHFINR, GBPOMR
COPZAR 7 0.00645 3.97× 8.5% 5.5% GBPOMR, GBPKWD, THBEUR, GBPPHP, AUDPHP
ZARCOP 8 0.00636 3.91× 8.3% 3.4% XAUZAR, XAGBRL, ZARNZD, GBPZAR, USDALL
RUBPLN 9 0.00633 3.90× 10.7% 5.2% PLNILS, JPYGBP, GBPOMR, JPYMYR, RUBNOK
RUBEUR 10 0.00607 3.74× 9.3% 2.8% USDSCR, GBPBRL, CHFMYR, CDFUSD, IDREUR

Rising influence vs 2024-11-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDALL 0.008050.00148 +0.00656
PENCOP 0.008090.00207 +0.00602
SCRUSD 0.008940.00317 +0.00578
XAUZAR 0.007210.00241 +0.00480
GBPNGN 0.005580.00115 +0.00443

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.001360.01436 -0.01300
CHFJPY 0.001770.01208 -0.01031
JPYCLP 0.001050.00683 -0.00578
KRWBRL 0.000380.00586 -0.00548
RUBNOK 0.002060.00695 -0.00489

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.