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Daily network digest

Monday, November 4, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 6.28× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.125
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02919 6.28× 68.7% 12.6% SRMUSD, DASHUSD, KRLUSD, XRDUSD, LCXUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02388 5.13× 46.7% 8.4% LTCBTC, ETHBTC, LCXUSD, BCHUSD, REPUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02287 4.92× 48.1% 26.2% TIAUSD, VETUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD, XLMUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.02238 4.81× 55.6% 24.3% SKLUSD, GNOUSD, RNDRUSD, FORTHUSD, LPTUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01609 3.46× 43.9% 25.7% SKLUSD, API3USD, FORTHUSD, IMXUSD, HNTUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01599 3.44× 33.6% 29.9% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, SOLUSD, XRPAUD
XDCUSD 7 0.01595 3.43× 38.8% 12.1% OGNUSD, BTCEUR, PERPUSD, UMAUSD, XRDUSD
TRACUSD 8 0.01183 2.54× 37.9% 15.0% LTCAUD, DYDXUSD, EGLDUSD, TRBUSD, PNKUSD
FORTUSD 9 0.01183 2.54× 29.4% 16.8% BTCEUR, RUNEUSD, JSTUSD, BTCUSD, BTCGBP
TRBUSD 10 0.01135 2.44× 36.0% 6.1% XRPBTC, ACHUSD, CRVUSD, SGBUSD, BATUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-11-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.023880.01079 +0.01309
XRPBTC 0.029190.01690 +0.01229
PAXGUSD 0.022380.01273 +0.00965
FORTUSD 0.011830.00290 +0.00892
TRACUSD 0.011830.00504 +0.00679

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001650.01860 -0.01695
BTCJPY 0.003780.01428 -0.01049
DUSKUSD 0.002970.01078 -0.00781
MKRUSD 0.008150.01566 -0.00750
XDCUSD 0.015950.02238 -0.00644

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 8.87× the influence of an average node across 618 pairs.

pairs
618
Density
0.033
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.01436 8.87× 3.2% 2.4% INRSEK, PENMXN, KRWBRL, BRLPEN, BRLAUD
CHFJPY 2 0.01208 7.46× 2.3% 0.2% COPMXN
IDRZAR 3 0.00802 4.95× 2.1% 0.6% USDZAR, ZARKRW, JPYBRL, BRLJPY
RUBNOK 4 0.00695 4.29× 15.2% 5.2% USDNOK, SCRUSD, XAGCAD, TZSZAR, XAGGBP
JPYCLP 5 0.00683 4.22× 4.1% 3.1% BRLKRW, JPYSEK, JPYGBP, USDZMW, GBPLYD
GBPBRL 6 0.00631 3.90× 5.8% 1.3% CLPMXN, JPYCLP, MXNCLP, RUBEUR, EURRUB
ZARBRL 7 0.00629 3.89× 18.2% 5.3% RUBNOK, ILSUSD, ILSJOD, DKKRUB, ILSAED
BRLZAR 8 0.00628 3.88× 16.4% 7.5% RUBNOK, ILSAED, ILSUSD, ILSJOD, PLNCHF
USDSZL 9 0.00595 3.68× 17.2% 4.5% RUBNOK, MXNCOP, DKKRUB, RUBPLN, USDPGK
BRLPEN 10 0.00593 3.67× 5.8% 0.2% CHFJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-11-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.014360.00128 +0.01308
CHFJPY 0.012080.00167 +0.01041
JPYCLP 0.006830.00053 +0.00630
KRWBRL 0.005860.00029 +0.00557
IDRZAR 0.008020.00287 +0.00514

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.004780.01270 -0.00792
USDALL 0.001480.00816 -0.00668
RUBCHF 0.001070.00754 -0.00648
SCRUSD 0.003170.00961 -0.00644
ARSCLP 0.000430.00686 -0.00643

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.