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Daily network digest

Friday, November 1, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.67× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.128
Clustering
0.355
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02639 5.67× 65.0% 13.6% ICXUSD, SRMUSD, KRLUSD, XRDUSD, BOBAUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02271 4.88× 46.7% 10.7% LTCBTC, LCXUSD, BONDUSD, BCHUSD, REPUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02210 4.75× 53.3% 23.4% SKLUSD, FORTHUSD, RNDRUSD, GNOUSD, XDCUSD
REPUSD 4 0.02182 4.69× 46.3% 19.2% XAUTUSD, VETUSD, PAXGUSD, XLMUSD, TIAUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01663 3.58× 45.8% 27.6% SKLUSD, FARMUSD, IMXUSD, GNOUSD, XDCUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01507 3.24× 37.4% 13.1% UMAUSD, ANKRUSD, ACHUSD, PERPUSD, OGNUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01452 3.12× 33.6% 28.5% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, XRPUSD, XRPAUD, BNTUSD
BONDUSD 8 0.01159 2.49× 29.4% 19.6% LTCBTC, MKRUSD, GTCUSD, ABTUSD, XDCUSD
FORTUSD 9 0.01117 2.40× 29.0% 12.6% BTCEUR, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, BTCGBP, XLMUSD
XLMUSD 10 0.01099 2.36× 31.3% 9.3% SRMUSD, HNTUSD, MDTUSD, COTIUSD, XDCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.022710.01050 +0.01221
XRPBTC 0.026390.01713 +0.00926
PAXGUSD 0.022100.01319 +0.00892
XAUTUSD 0.016630.00941 +0.00722
FORTUSD 0.011170.00399 +0.00718

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001630.01768 -0.01605
BTCJPY 0.002730.01470 -0.01197
MKRUSD 0.007610.01675 -0.00914
DUSKUSD 0.002880.00961 -0.00673
DOTUSD 0.001520.00745 -0.00594

Foreign exchange

NOKAED was the most central name, carrying 8.10× the influence of an average node across 638 pairs.

pairs
638
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.294
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NOKAED 1 0.01270 8.10× 6.0% 2.7% USDZAR, JPYEUR, PLNJPY, MXNZAR, JODILS
GBPTHB 2 0.00985 6.28× 2.5% 0.2% NOKAED
SCRUSD 3 0.00961 6.13× 14.4% 5.5% XAGBRL, USDCNH, XAGCAD, USDSCR, XAGINR
USDALL 4 0.00816 5.21× 5.2% 4.7% MXNJPY, JPYIDR, USDBIF, XAGSAR, CHFINR
PENCOP 5 0.00764 4.88× 1.4% 0.6% MXNPEN, XAGARS, PENBRL, XAUARS
RUBCHF 6 0.00754 4.81× 1.6% 0.2% ARSCLP
ARSCLP 7 0.00686 4.37× 0.5% 0.3% RUBCHF, SEKRUB
EURRUB 8 0.00683 4.36× 12.2% 7.2% ARSJPY, ARSMXN, SGDJPY, JPYMYR, MXNJPY
XAUZAR 9 0.00670 4.27× 13.5% 8.0% XAGCNY, XAGMXN, XAGJPY, XAGEUR, XAGCAD
RUBPLN 10 0.00619 3.95× 9.7% 4.1% JPYGBP, PLNILS, JPYMYR, XAGCNY, USDRWF

Rising influence vs 2024-10-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.012700.00335 +0.00934
GBPTHB 0.009850.00142 +0.00843
USDALL 0.008160.00157 +0.00659
SCRUSD 0.009610.00304 +0.00657
ARSCLP 0.006860.00060 +0.00625

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDTHB 0.000510.00545 -0.00494
XAUARS 0.004590.00952 -0.00493
COPMXN 0.001280.00552 -0.00424
MXNBRL 0.001530.00555 -0.00401
LRDGBP 0.000480.00440 -0.00391

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.