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Daily network digest

Thursday, October 31, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.18× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.122
Clustering
0.348
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02411 5.18× 42.5% 16.4% LPTUSD, SRMUSD, VOXELUSD, RENUSD, UNIUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02060 4.43× 45.8% 12.6% STORJUSD, HNTUSD, TUSD, API3USD, ALPHAUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01768 3.80× 50.0% 35.0% EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, ETCUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.01713 3.68× 37.9% 18.2% VTHOUSD, JSTUSD, AVAXUSD, CROUSD, DOGEUSD
MKRUSD 5 0.01675 3.60× 33.2% 11.7% XRPBTC, GTCUSD, TLOSUSD, REPUSD, LPTUSD
BTCJPY 6 0.01470 3.16× 29.9% 36.0% LTCUSD, LTCAUD, QNTUSD, NEXOUSD, LTCEUR
PAXGUSD 7 0.01319 2.84× 31.3% 11.7% LPTUSD, MKRUSD, CVXUSD, ASMUSD, FXUSD
TLOSUSD 8 0.01146 2.46× 24.3% 11.7% QNTUSD, WAVESUSD, NEOUSD, BTCJPY, LTCBTC
LTCBTC 9 0.01143 2.46× 27.6% 20.6% VTHOUSD, CROUSD, JSTUSD, XDCUSD, ARPAUSD
TRBUSD 10 0.01098 2.36× 33.2% 6.5% WAVESUSD, AMPUSD, JASMYUSD, FXUSD, DYDXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.020600.00644 +0.01416
TSDUSD 0.017680.00406 +0.01362
MKRUSD 0.016750.00429 +0.01247
REPUSD 0.024110.01369 +0.01041
TLOSUSD 0.011460.00381 +0.00765

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.008860.02993 -0.02106
HNTUSD 0.009660.02024 -0.01058
ORCAUSD 0.003600.01217 -0.00857
LTCBTC 0.011430.01810 -0.00667
AUCTIONUSD 0.005240.01167 -0.00643

Foreign exchange

XAUARS was the most central name, carrying 6.06× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.341
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUARS 1 0.00952 6.06× 1.3% 1.7% EURPHP, AUDMAD, ARSZAR, MYRINR, MYRUSD
PENCOP 2 0.00771 4.91× 1.9% 0.2% XAUARS
COPBRL 3 0.00729 4.64× 2.0% 0.6% BRLKRW, PENCOP, XAUARS, BRLRSD
XAGBRL 4 0.00701 4.46× 15.9% 9.0% USDMAD, JPYMXN, CADMXN, USDSCR, XAGCAD
BRLZAR 5 0.00675 4.30× 15.6% 7.4% RUBEUR, ILSAED, ILSUSD, PLNCHF, PLNEUR
ZARBRL 6 0.00673 4.29× 17.0% 5.2% ILSAED, ILSUSD, RUBPLN, ILSPLN, DKKRUB
USDSZL 7 0.00664 4.23× 16.5% 4.7% MXNCOP, USDPGK, DKKRUB, RUBEUR, RUBPLN
USDPGK 8 0.00622 3.96× 18.6% 7.7% XAGJPY, BWPGBP, XAGZAR, ZARBRL, BRLUSD
EURRUB 9 0.00607 3.87× 8.6% 9.3% USDNOK, PLNILS, ETBUSD, SEKNOK, ILSPLN
BRLUSD 10 0.00591 3.77× 14.5% 1.9% DKKRUB, EURRUB, RUBEUR, MXNCOP, RUBPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-10-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUARS 0.009520.00147 +0.00806
PENCOP 0.007710.00122 +0.00648
COPBRL 0.007290.00121 +0.00607
USDTHB 0.005450.00029 +0.00516
XAGBRL 0.007010.00257 +0.00444

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.001570.01085 -0.00928
BRLCAD 0.000380.00674 -0.00636
EURUZS 0.001290.00617 -0.00488
RUBEUR 0.004720.00942 -0.00471
BRLCOP 0.001750.00642 -0.00467

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.