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Daily network digest

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.43× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.120
Clustering
0.328
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.02993 6.43× 53.3% 26.6% AXSUSD, KRLUSD, FETUSD, STORJUSD, GHSTUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02024 4.35× 48.6% 29.4% KRLUSD, 1INCHUSD, SANDUSD, NEOUSD, GALAUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.01810 3.89× 37.9% 18.2% VTHOUSD, PAXGUSD, TVKUSD, MASKUSD, BTTUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.01557 3.35× 41.6% 24.8% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, DASHUSD, DSHUSD, TVKUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01412 3.04× 35.0% 6.1% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD, LPTUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01393 3.00× 36.4% 18.7% XDCUSD, WAVESUSD, GHSTUSD, COMPUSD, UMAUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01391 2.99× 30.8% 6.5% NKNUSD, BTRSTUSD, OXTUSD, SGBUSD, AVAXUSD
REPUSD 8 0.01369 2.94× 34.6% 14.0% HBARUSD, SGBUSD, AUCTIONUSD, ICPUSD, SOLUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.01300 2.79× 25.7% 7.9% HIGHUSD, RLYUSD, PAXUSD, DARUSD, BTRSTUSD
ORCAUSD 10 0.01217 2.62× 34.1% 11.2% EGLDUSD, FISUSD, SWFTCUSD, AERGOUSD, MLNUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.029930.00830 +0.02162
HNTUSD 0.020240.00929 +0.01096
ORCAUSD 0.012170.00282 +0.00935
AUCTIONUSD 0.011670.00417 +0.00750
ETHBTC 0.015570.00956 +0.00601

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.013930.02741 -0.01348
XDCUSD 0.006440.01573 -0.00929
KRLUSD 0.013000.02223 -0.00923
REPUSD 0.013690.02225 -0.00856
PAXGUSD 0.013910.02236 -0.00846

Foreign exchange

AUDSEK was the most central name, carrying 7.00× the influence of an average node across 645 pairs.

pairs
645
Density
0.031
Clustering
0.341
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDSEK 1 0.01085 7.00× 5.6% 1.2% JPYNZD, CNYAUD, NOKZAR, NZDJPY, CHFCLP
RUBEUR 2 0.00942 6.08× 12.9% 5.4% JPYMYR, BRLCAD, SGDBRL, XAGAUD, XAGTRY
DKKRUB 3 0.00833 5.37× 14.1% 5.6% JPYMYR, SGDBRL, ILSPLN, BRLCAD, USDNOK
EURRUB 4 0.00699 4.51× 14.8% 9.2% JPYILS, JPYMYR, USDNOK, USDKRW, ETBGBP
BRLCLP 5 0.00690 4.45× 20.0% 5.7% NGNUSD, XAGUSD, XAGMXN, XAGEUR, XAGINR
BRLCAD 6 0.00674 4.35× 10.7% 3.1% ETBUSD, XAGJPY, USDNOK, MYRKRW, GBPNIO
BRLCOP 7 0.00642 4.14× 4.0% 1.4% BRLCHF, USDBRL, BRLARS, ILSSEK, JPYBRL
USDMAD 8 0.00620 4.00× 7.6% 16.0% SEKILS, ZARNGN, SARJPY, ILSCAD, UYUGBP
EURUZS 9 0.00617 3.98× 0.8% 0.3% JPYRUB, RUBJPY
RUBPLN 10 0.00565 3.64× 12.4% 4.5% JPYMYR, BRLCAD, XAGCNY, XAGRUB, NGNUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.010850.00046 +0.01040
BRLCAD 0.006740.00068 +0.00605
COPCLP 0.005280.00049 +0.00479
EURUZS 0.006170.00141 +0.00477
BRLCLP 0.006900.00219 +0.00471

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.002720.01418 -0.01145
GBPTHB 0.002410.01095 -0.00853
SCRUSD 0.002030.00913 -0.00710
PENCOP 0.001220.00818 -0.00696
USDALL 0.002290.00885 -0.00657

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.