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Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.87× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.129
Clustering
0.358
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02741 5.87× 70.0% 11.3% SRMUSD, BOBAUSD, KRLUSD, LCXUSD, ICXUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02236 4.79× 53.5% 23.5% SKLUSD, RNDRUSD, FORTHUSD, GNOUSD, HIGHUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02225 4.76× 50.2% 22.1% XLMUSD, PAXGUSD, XAUTUSD, SGBUSD, VETUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.02223 4.76× 48.8% 9.9% LTCBTC, FORTUSD, ETHBTC, LCXUSD, BCHUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01573 3.37× 38.5% 9.9% UMAUSD, OGNUSD, BTCEUR, PERPUSD, VOXELUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01527 3.27× 42.3% 26.8% SKLUSD, FARMUSD, FORTHUSD, IMXUSD, XDCUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01387 2.97× 32.4% 29.1% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, XRPUSD, UMAUSD, XRPAUD
FORTUSD 8 0.01178 2.52× 27.7% 14.6% BTCEUR, BTCGBP, RUNEUSD, WBTCUSD, LCXUSD
TRACUSD 9 0.01130 2.42× 33.8% 16.4% LTCAUD, EGLDUSD, TRBUSD, DYDXUSD, STXUSD
XRDUSD 10 0.01105 2.36× 29.6% 17.4% APEUSD, FORTHUSD, SKLUSD, XMRUSD, GHSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.027410.01711 +0.01030
KRLUSD 0.022230.01231 +0.00991
PAXGUSD 0.022360.01292 +0.00944
FORTUSD 0.011780.00440 +0.00738
TRACUSD 0.011300.00486 +0.00644

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.003130.01590 -0.01277
MKRUSD 0.006960.01494 -0.00799
XDCUSD 0.015730.02239 -0.00666
DOTUSD 0.001610.00824 -0.00662
CROUSD 0.004550.01068 -0.00613

Foreign exchange

NOKAED was the most central name, carrying 9.07× the influence of an average node across 640 pairs.

pairs
640
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.320
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NOKAED 1 0.01418 9.07× 6.3% 2.5% USDZAR, JPYEUR, MXNZAR, JPYPLN, PLNJPY
GBPTHB 2 0.01095 7.00× 2.5% 0.2% NOKAED
SCRUSD 3 0.00913 5.84× 13.3% 5.9% XAGBRL, USDCNH, XAGAUD, NOKILS, NOKJPY
USDALL 4 0.00885 5.67× 5.2% 4.4% MXNJPY, USDBIF, USDKRW, JPYIDR, JPYMXN
PENCOP 5 0.00818 5.24× 1.4% 0.6% XAGARS, MXNPEN, XAUARS, PENBRL
XAUZAR 6 0.00689 4.41× 13.1% 7.8% XAGCNY, XAGKRW, XAGJPY, XAGMXN, XAGGBP
EURRUB 7 0.00676 4.33× 12.1% 6.9% ARSJPY, SGDJPY, JPYMYR, MXNJPY, CLPAUD
RUBPLN 8 0.00640 4.10× 9.5% 3.8% PLNILS, JPYGBP, JPYMYR, USDRWF, XAGCNY
RUBEUR 9 0.00597 3.82× 8.1% 3.4% USDSCR, XAGSAR, GBPBRL, KRWEUR, CHFMYR
GBPNGN 10 0.00589 3.77× 1.1% 0.5% EURLBP, CNYCLP, CLPCNY

Rising influence vs 2024-10-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.014180.00383 +0.01034
GBPTHB 0.010950.00108 +0.00987
USDALL 0.008850.00142 +0.00743
SCRUSD 0.009130.00298 +0.00615
GBPNGN 0.005890.00100 +0.00488

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSZAR 0.000860.00669 -0.00583
XAUARS 0.004630.01018 -0.00555
JPYCLP 0.000880.00591 -0.00503
GBPBRL 0.005100.00966 -0.00456
BRLUSD 0.004040.00849 -0.00445

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.