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Daily network digest

Monday, October 28, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.01× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.121
Clustering
0.334
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02352 5.01× 41.5% 15.6% IOTUSD, LPTUSD, UNIUSD, MLNUSD, ASMUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02239 4.77× 45.3% 10.8% STORJUSD, GNOUSD, HNTUSD, API3USD, DOTUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.01711 3.64× 39.2% 17.0% VTHOUSD, CROUSD, FETUSD, AVAXUSD, JSTUSD
BTCJPY 4 0.01590 3.39× 32.5% 31.6% QNTUSD, LTCUSD, LTCAUD, NEXOUSD, PNKUSD
MKRUSD 5 0.01494 3.18× 29.2% 12.3% XRPBTC, GTCUSD, NEOUSD, SCUSD, REPUSD
PAXGUSD 6 0.01292 2.75× 29.7% 10.4% CVXUSD, MKRUSD, LPTUSD, REPUSD, RENUSD
KRLUSD 7 0.01231 2.62× 32.5% 8.5% BNTUSD, TRUUSD, KEEPUSD, PAXUSD, XDCUSD
AMPUSD 8 0.01082 2.31× 23.6% 13.2% MKRUSD, COMPUSD, CHZUSD, ALCXUSD, CHREUR
HNTUSD 9 0.01076 2.29× 29.7% 28.3% NEXOUSD, GHSTUSD, KSMUSD, C98USD, CHRUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01069 2.28× 30.2% 39.2% BOSONUSD, SUKUUSD, ICPUSD, KNCUSD, JSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.022390.00712 +0.01527
REPUSD 0.023520.01176 +0.01176
MKRUSD 0.014940.00382 +0.01113
BTCJPY 0.015900.00596 +0.00994
TLOSUSD 0.010380.00329 +0.00709

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.008640.03366 -0.02502
ETHBTC 0.009170.02091 -0.01175
HNTUSD 0.010760.01986 -0.00910
ORCAUSD 0.003660.01196 -0.00829
LTCBTC 0.010340.01653 -0.00618

Foreign exchange

XAUARS was the most central name, carrying 6.47× the influence of an average node across 636 pairs.

pairs
636
Density
0.033
Clustering
0.352
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUARS 1 0.01018 6.47× 2.2% 3.6% CHFIDR, JPYSEK, ARSZAR, JPYGBP, JPYIDR
GBPBRL 2 0.00966 6.14× 5.0% 0.9% CLPBRL, CLPMXN, MXNCLP, JPYCLP, MXNPEN
BRLUSD 3 0.00849 5.40× 4.9% 0.6% MXNPEN, XAUARS, JPYCLP, CLPBRL
USDPGK 4 0.00714 4.54× 20.0% 7.4% XAGJPY, ZARBRL, MXNBRL, BWPGBP, ZMWZAR
ARSZAR 5 0.00669 4.26× 1.9% 1.3% COPBRL, BRLKRW, ZARRON, RONZAR, ZARINR
PENCOP 6 0.00644 4.10× 4.1% 0.2% XAUARS
BRLZAR 7 0.00638 4.05× 16.5% 7.6% RUBEUR, ILSAED, ILSUSD, EURRUB, PLNEUR
ZARBRL 8 0.00627 3.99× 17.3% 5.5% DKKRUB, ILSUSD, ILSAED, RUBPLN, ILSPLN
ILSAED 9 0.00612 3.89× 14.6% 11.8% ZARUGX, UGXZAR, GHSZAR, ZARGHS, CNYJPY
ILSUSD 10 0.00604 3.84× 15.0% 12.4% UGXZAR, ZARUGX, ZARGHS, GHSZAR, GBPSCR

Rising influence vs 2024-10-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ILSUSD 0.006040.00058 +0.00547
JPYCLP 0.005910.00056 +0.00535
XAUARS 0.010180.00494 +0.00524
ILSAED 0.006120.00090 +0.00522
ARSZAR 0.006690.00192 +0.00477

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.002980.01076 -0.00778
SCRGBP 0.002730.00888 -0.00615
GBPTHB 0.001080.00717 -0.00609
ZARIDR 0.000380.00625 -0.00586
ZARTRY 0.001330.00663 -0.00530

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.