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Daily network digest

Thursday, October 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.01× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.123
Clustering
0.335
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03744 8.01× 65.3% 23.9% KRLUSD, FETUSD, LPTUSD, AAVEUSD, STORJUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.01982 4.24× 54.0% 31.5% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, TVKUSD, ETCUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.01904 4.07× 48.8% 30.0% 1INCHUSD, KRLUSD, FORTHUSD, FTMUSD, OXYUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01392 2.98× 32.9% 21.6% VTHOUSD, PAXGUSD, MASKUSD, NANOUSD, TVKUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01261 2.70× 35.7% 5.2% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, NKNUSD, FXUSD, GHSTUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01250 2.67× 25.8% 8.5% HIGHUSD, BTRSTUSD, DARUSD, DYDXEUR, ZENUSD
ORCAUSD 7 0.01247 2.67× 36.2% 10.3% SWFTCUSD, EGLDUSD, YFIUSD, FISUSD, GTCUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.01226 2.62× 33.8% 23.9% XDCUSD, LINKUSD, BTTUSD, DOTUSD, COMPUSD
PAXGUSD 9 0.01211 2.59× 31.5% 4.7% BTRSTUSD, NKNUSD, SGBUSD, OXTUSD, AVAXUSD
FXUSD 10 0.01176 2.52× 29.6% 13.1% XRPAUD, BTRSTUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XRPUSD, PNKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.037440.01341 +0.02403
ETHBTC 0.019820.00821 +0.01161
HNTUSD 0.019040.00914 +0.00990
ORCAUSD 0.012470.00294 +0.00952
FXUSD 0.011760.00446 +0.00731

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.012260.02602 -0.01376
REPUSD 0.010430.01963 -0.00919
KRLUSD 0.012500.02112 -0.00863
PAXGUSD 0.012110.01983 -0.00772
XDCUSD 0.005840.01342 -0.00758

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.36× the influence of an average node across 647 pairs.

pairs
647
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.334
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01138 7.36× 1.7% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 2 0.01054 6.82× 1.5% 0.2% PKRJPY
MXNBRL 3 0.00821 5.31× 11.9% 4.0% DKKZAR, MXNCOP, DKKRUB, ZARMYR, NZDHUF
GBPBRL 4 0.00803 5.19× 13.6% 1.7% DKKRUB, CLPMXN, USDTHB, EURRUB, RUBEUR
BRLUSD 5 0.00774 5.01× 13.0% 2.2% DKKRUB, EURRUB, MXNCOP, RUBEUR, USDZMW
BRLHKD 6 0.00768 4.97× 12.7% 1.5% DKKRUB, MXNPEN, RUBEUR, EURRUB, MXNCOP
XAGBRL 7 0.00751 4.86× 14.1% 7.3% CADMXN, MXNCAD, JPYMXN, XAGCAD, MXNAUD
DKKRUB 8 0.00664 4.29× 7.0% 3.9% USDNOK, XAGBRL, XAGGBP, ETBUSD, XAGCAD
XAUZAR 9 0.00634 4.10× 7.0% 7.4% ZARIDR, ZARRON, RONZAR, XAUJPY, ZARPLN
JPYMXN 10 0.00608 3.93× 10.5% 8.7% SGDJPY, MXNAUD, AUDMXN, XAGGBP, LRDGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-10-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LRDGBP 0.005820.00040 +0.00542
XAGBRL 0.007510.00218 +0.00533
USDTHB 0.005390.00028 +0.00511
MXNBRL 0.008210.00361 +0.00460
BRLUSD 0.007740.00321 +0.00453

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURUZS 0.001110.00702 -0.00590
RUBEUR 0.004590.01035 -0.00576
JPYTHB 0.000770.00568 -0.00491
BRLCOP 0.000850.00565 -0.00481
AUDSEK 0.001750.00646 -0.00471

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.