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Daily network digest

Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.57× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.135
Clustering
0.362
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02602 5.57× 67.6% 19.7% SRMUSD, ICXUSD, BOBAUSD, LCXUSD, BNTUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.02112 4.52× 47.9% 9.4% LTCBTC, AKTEUR, FORTUSD, BONDUSD, XRPBTC
PAXGUSD 3 0.01983 4.24× 55.9% 21.6% SKLUSD, RNDRUSD, FORTHUSD, GNOUSD, FARMUSD
REPUSD 4 0.01963 4.20× 47.9% 21.1% SGBUSD, XLMUSD, XAUTUSD, SRMUSD, PAXGUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01509 3.23× 37.6% 31.5% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, UMAUSD, FTMUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01356 2.90× 40.4% 25.4% SKLUSD, FORTHUSD, GNOUSD, API3USD, FARMUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.01342 2.87× 38.5% 15.5% OGNUSD, UMAUSD, BTCEUR, PERPUSD, VOXELUSD
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01341 2.87× 34.7% 36.6% COMPUSD, ETHUSD, 1INCHUSD, BTTUSD, PRIMEUSD
TRBUSD 9 0.01115 2.39× 36.6% 9.9% ACHUSD, SWFTCUSD, XRPBTC, SGBUSD, TRXUSD
TRXUSD 10 0.01065 2.28× 33.8% 35.2% DYDXEUR, UMAUSD, ICPUSD, ABTUSD, QNTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.026020.01445 +0.01157
PAXGUSD 0.019830.01079 +0.00904
TRXUSD 0.010650.00290 +0.00775
FORTUSD 0.010440.00377 +0.00667
ELAUSD 0.009120.00256 +0.00656

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001510.01810 -0.01659
BTCJPY 0.002930.01421 -0.01128
DUSKUSD 0.003280.01248 -0.00920
XDCUSD 0.013420.02057 -0.00715
MKRUSD 0.006180.01278 -0.00661

Foreign exchange

RUBEUR was the most central name, carrying 6.62× the influence of an average node across 639 pairs.

pairs
639
Density
0.030
Clustering
0.330
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBEUR 1 0.01035 6.62× 13.6% 5.0% JPYMYR, SGDBRL, BRLCAD, USDNOK, MXNCLP
DKKRUB 2 0.00836 5.34× 12.2% 5.8% JPYMYR, USDNOK, XAGINR, BRLCAD, SGDBRL
EURRUB 3 0.00788 5.03× 14.4% 8.0% JPYILS, JPYMYR, USDKRW, SGDBRL, NOKJPY
EURUZS 4 0.00702 4.48× 0.8% 0.3% JPYRUB, RUBJPY
AUDSEK 5 0.00646 4.13× 7.2% 1.3% CHFCLP, CLPCHF, JPYNZD, ILSNOK, ZARHUF
RUBCHF 6 0.00612 3.91× 1.3% 0.3% SEKRUB, NOKRUB
BRLCLP 7 0.00610 3.90× 19.0% 4.9% NGNUSD, XAGUSD, CLPMXN, XAGEUR, MXNCLP
JPYTHB 8 0.00568 3.63× 4.9% 1.9% ILSNOK, CHFPKR, GBPILS, AUDNZD, TWDCHF
BRLCOP 9 0.00565 3.61× 2.5% 0.8% BRLCHF, USDBRL, BRLARS, JPYBRL, BRLJPY
CHFPKR 10 0.00536 3.43× 3.1% 2.4% JPYCZK, THBHKD, CZKJPY, GBPNOK, SGDNOK

Rising influence vs 2024-10-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.006460.00068 +0.00578
EURUZS 0.007020.00141 +0.00561
GBPSCR 0.005330.00068 +0.00465
BRLCAD 0.005030.00063 +0.00440
IDRCHF 0.004650.00029 +0.00436

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.001990.01004 -0.00805
SCRGBP 0.001370.00875 -0.00738
ILSPLN 0.002540.00888 -0.00634
PENCOP 0.001790.00711 -0.00533
ZARTRY 0.002420.00774 -0.00531

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.