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Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.70× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.125
Clustering
0.352
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02197 4.70× 40.4% 18.3% LPTUSD, 1INCHUSD, GNOUSD, UNIUSD, MLNUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02057 4.40× 48.4% 13.6% SGBUSD, HNTUSD, STORJUSD, DOTUSD, GNOUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01810 3.87× 50.2% 37.1% EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, CGLDUSD, DUSKUSD, LINKUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01605 3.43× 39.9% 9.9% XYOUSD, PAXUSD, FILUSD, BNTUSD, TRUUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.01445 3.09× 36.2% 22.5% AVAXUSD, VTHOUSD, DOGEUSD, EGLDUSD, CROUSD
BTCJPY 6 0.01421 3.04× 31.5% 30.5% QNTUSD, LTCUSD, PNKUSD, OXYUSD, XRPUSD
MKRUSD 7 0.01278 2.74× 27.7% 12.2% SCUSD, XRPBTC, LINKUSD, NEOUSD, REPUSD
DUSKUSD 8 0.01248 2.67× 33.8% 14.6% CVCUSD, JSTUSD, BTTUSD, MKRUSD, PNKUSD
AMPUSD 9 0.01107 2.37× 25.8% 16.0% MKRUSD, CHZUSD, COMPUSD, AUCTIONUSD, TUSD
PAXGUSD 10 0.01079 2.31× 29.1% 10.3% MKRUSD, LPTUSD, ASMUSD, CVXUSD, REPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.020570.00602 +0.01455
TSDUSD 0.018100.00405 +0.01405
REPUSD 0.021970.01174 +0.01024
DUSKUSD 0.012480.00354 +0.00894
MKRUSD 0.012780.00391 +0.00887

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009830.03814 -0.02831
ETHBTC 0.009460.02186 -0.01241
HNTUSD 0.009400.01778 -0.00839
ORCAUSD 0.003860.01202 -0.00815
HIGHUSD 0.003890.01065 -0.00676

Foreign exchange

SCRUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.60× the influence of an average node across 657 pairs.

pairs
657
Density
0.023
Clustering
0.326
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SCRUSD 1 0.01004 6.60× 10.7% 4.0% XAGBRL, USDCNH, NOKILS, XAUCNY, XAGCAD
ILSPLN 2 0.00888 5.83× 5.2% 4.6% ZARUSD, ZARAED, ZARDKK, SGDZAR, PLNILS
SCRGBP 3 0.00875 5.75× 5.8% 1.8% USDSCR, AUDKRW, CHFKRW, NZDKRW, IDRZAR
EURRUB 4 0.00829 5.45× 10.8% 5.8% ARSJPY, SGDJPY, ARSMXN, SCRUSD, CLPAUD
ZARTRY 5 0.00774 5.08× 16.0% 13.9% ARSMXN, ARSZAR, SZLUSD, LSLUSD, XAUAUD
RUBEUR 6 0.00766 5.04× 6.6% 2.1% GBPBRL, XAGSAR, CHFMYR, KRWEUR, CDFGBP
NOKAED 7 0.00733 4.81× 5.6% 4.0% USDZAR, RUBPLN, USDDOP, MXNZAR, JPYEUR
PENCOP 8 0.00711 4.67× 1.5% 0.5% XAGARS, XAUARS, PENBRL
SGDTHB 9 0.00688 4.52× 4.1% 0.5% SCRGBP, NOKAED, USDSCR
GBPTHB 10 0.00681 4.47× 4.1% 0.3% SCRGBP, NOKAED

Rising influence vs 2024-10-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.010040.00311 +0.00693
ZARTRY 0.007740.00175 +0.00599
GBPTHB 0.006810.00098 +0.00583
SCRGBP 0.008750.00301 +0.00575
ZARIDR 0.006080.00037 +0.00571

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.000450.01050 -0.01005
JPYPKR 0.000340.00957 -0.00923
BHDPKR 0.000290.00675 -0.00646
JPYCLP 0.000290.00583 -0.00553
XAUARS 0.004900.01029 -0.00538

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.