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Daily network digest

Monday, October 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.16× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.120
Clustering
0.334
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03814 8.16× 61.5% 31.0% KRLUSD, AXSUSD, XRPBTC, FETUSD, LPTUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.02186 4.68× 54.9% 30.5% XDCUSD, DSHUSD, ZECUSD, DIAUSD, DASHUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.01778 3.81× 45.1% 24.9% KRLUSD, 1INCHUSD, FORTHUSD, UMAUSD, FTMUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01411 3.02× 30.5% 21.6% VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, NANOUSD, PAXGUSD, TVKUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.01297 2.78× 23.5% 11.7% HIGHUSD, BTRSTUSD, DARUSD, DYDXEUR, PAXUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01285 2.75× 36.6% 6.6% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, FXUSD, NKNUSD, GHSTUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.01262 2.70× 28.2% 29.6% XDCUSD, LINKUSD, LCXUSD, UMAUSD, DOTUSD
PAXGUSD 8 0.01249 2.67× 30.0% 3.8% BTRSTUSD, NKNUSD, SGBUSD, OXTUSD, KRLUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01202 2.57× 34.7% 13.1% SWFTCUSD, XRPBTC, FISUSD, EGLDUSD, YFIUSD
REPUSD 10 0.01174 2.51× 30.0% 16.9% HBARUSD, BTRSTUSD, SGBUSD, AUCTIONUSD, LCXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.038140.01256 +0.02558
ETHBTC 0.021860.00794 +0.01393
ORCAUSD 0.012020.00251 +0.00951
HNTUSD 0.017780.00973 +0.00806
FXUSD 0.011260.00442 +0.00684

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.012620.02527 -0.01265
XDCUSD 0.006020.01482 -0.00880
PAXGUSD 0.012490.02102 -0.00853
REPUSD 0.011740.01979 -0.00806
XYOUSD 0.002980.01054 -0.00756

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 6.79× the influence of an average node across 647 pairs.

pairs
647
Density
0.032
Clustering
0.358
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01050 6.79× 1.9% 0.2% JPYPKR
XAUARS 2 0.01029 6.66× 2.5% 3.6% JPYGBP, JPYIDR, JPYSEK, ARSZAR, CHFIDR
JPYPKR 3 0.00957 6.19× 1.5% 0.3% BHDPKR, PKRJPY
GBPBRL 4 0.00888 5.75× 5.0% 0.9% CLPBRL, CLPMXN, JPYCLP, MXNPEN, MXNCLP
USDPGK 5 0.00736 4.76× 19.2% 7.3% XAGJPY, BWPGBP, ZARBRL, MXNBRL, ZMWZAR
BRLUSD 6 0.00728 4.71× 4.6% 0.5% MXNPEN, XAUARS, JPYCLP
BHDPKR 7 0.00675 4.37× 2.0% 0.2% PKRJPY
BRLZAR 8 0.00622 4.02× 16.3% 7.1% RUBEUR, ILSAED, PLNEUR, PLNHUF, EURRUB
ARSZAR 9 0.00620 4.01× 1.9% 1.2% COPBRL, ZARRON, RONZAR, BRLKRW, ZARINR
ZARBRL 10 0.00618 4.00× 17.6% 4.8% DKKRUB, RUBPLN, ILSUSD, ILSAED, ILSPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-10-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.010500.00043 +0.01006
JPYPKR 0.009570.00034 +0.00923
BHDPKR 0.006750.00029 +0.00646
XAUARS 0.010290.00428 +0.00601
NZDAED 0.005700.00040 +0.00531

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.003110.01019 -0.00707
ZARTRY 0.001750.00768 -0.00593
MADAUD 0.000310.00623 -0.00593
GBPTHB 0.000980.00636 -0.00538
ZARIDR 0.000370.00561 -0.00524

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.