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Daily network digest

Sunday, October 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.38× the influence of an average node across 213 assets.

assets
213
Density
0.129
Clustering
0.359
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02527 5.38× 67.9% 20.8% ICXUSD, BOBAUSD, KRLUSD, LCXUSD, SRMUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02102 4.48× 50.9% 23.1% SKLUSD, FORTHUSD, FARMUSD, RNDRUSD, GNOUSD
REPUSD 3 0.01979 4.22× 43.9% 17.5% SGBUSD, XLMUSD, XAUTUSD, ZENUSD, LCXUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01789 3.81× 41.0% 9.4% FORTUSD, AKTEUR, BONDUSD, LTCBTC, LCXUSD
XAUTUSD 5 0.01507 3.21× 42.5% 25.0% SKLUSD, HNTUSD, FARMUSD, FORTHUSD, IMXUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.01482 3.16× 38.7% 13.7% OGNUSD, BTCEUR, LCXUSD, UMAUSD, PERPUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01408 3.00× 35.4% 29.7% BNTUSD, AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, XRPUSD, XRPAUD
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01256 2.68× 31.6% 34.0% ETHUSD, COMPUSD, 1INCHUSD, BTTUSD, OXYUSD
BONDUSD 9 0.01236 2.63× 32.1% 16.5% MKRUSD, GTCUSD, LTCBTC, XDCUSD, OXYUSD
TRBUSD 10 0.01151 2.45× 35.4% 9.9% ACHUSD, SWFTCUSD, SGBUSD, RENUSD, OGNUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.025270.01497 +0.01030
PAXGUSD 0.021020.01074 +0.01028
LCXUSD 0.011330.00442 +0.00691
LTCBTC 0.014080.00796 +0.00612
ELAUSD 0.008980.00286 +0.00612

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTCJPY 0.002520.01460 -0.01208
DUSKUSD 0.003750.01135 -0.00760
XDCUSD 0.014820.02133 -0.00651
DOTUSD 0.001110.00760 -0.00650
LPTUSD 0.003950.00936 -0.00541

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.