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Daily network digest

Friday, October 18, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.40× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.120
Clustering
0.329
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03442 7.40× 57.5% 29.0% AXSUSD, FETUSD, ETHAUD, STORJUSD, OCEANUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.02176 4.68× 53.7% 29.0% XDCUSD, NANOUSD, ZECUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.01828 3.93× 48.1% 28.0% 1INCHUSD, FORTHUSD, KRLUSD, FTMUSD, UMAUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.01418 3.05× 32.2% 25.2% XDCUSD, LCXUSD, DOTUSD, UMAUSD, GHSTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01356 2.92× 31.8% 15.9% VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, PAXGUSD, NANOUSD, TVKUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01252 2.69× 36.0% 6.1% KRLUSD, MKRUSD, FXUSD, NKNUSD, GHSTUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01196 2.57× 30.4% 3.3% BTRSTUSD, SGBUSD, NKNUSD, ATOMUSD, OXTUSD
AUCTIONUSD 8 0.01190 2.56× 28.0% 16.4% KRLUSD, ZECUSD, BTCJPY, GRTUSD, MIRUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01167 2.51× 33.6% 13.6% SWFTCUSD, AERGOUSD, XRPBTC, AUCTIONUSD, EGLDUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.01160 2.49× 24.3% 9.8% HIGHUSD, BTRSTUSD, DARUSD, PAXUSD, RARIUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.034420.01205 +0.02237
ETHBTC 0.021760.00778 +0.01398
ORCAUSD 0.011670.00201 +0.00966
HNTUSD 0.018280.00925 +0.00904
FXUSD 0.011170.00403 +0.00713

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.014180.02443 -0.01025
PAXGUSD 0.011960.02118 -0.00923
REPUSD 0.011550.02062 -0.00907
ELAUSD 0.001430.01044 -0.00901
XYOUSD 0.002250.01117 -0.00891

Foreign exchange

SCRUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.62× the influence of an average node across 650 pairs.

pairs
650
Density
0.024
Clustering
0.325
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SCRUSD 1 0.01019 6.62× 12.3% 4.2% XAGBRL, USDCNH, XAGCAD, NOKJPY, LSLUSD
SCRGBP 2 0.00821 5.34× 5.7% 2.2% TRYZAR, ILSPLN, AUDKRW, CHFKRW, NZDKRW
ILSPLN 3 0.00784 5.09× 4.9% 4.5% ZARAED, ZARUSD, SCRGBP, PLNILS, ZARDKK
ZARTRY 4 0.00768 4.99× 15.7% 13.3% ARSMXN, ARSZAR, ZARCOP, XAUAUD, EURAED
EURRUB 5 0.00756 4.91× 10.5% 5.4% ARSJPY, SGDJPY, ARSMXN, ARSCHF, CLPAUD
RUBEUR 6 0.00739 4.80× 6.9% 2.2% GBPBRL, USDKRW, CHFMYR, CDFGBP, IDREUR
NOKAED 7 0.00733 4.77× 6.0% 4.2% USDZAR, RUBPLN, USDDOP, MXNZAR, JPYEUR
PENCOP 8 0.00657 4.27× 1.5% 0.5% XAGARS, XAUARS, PENBRL
SGDTHB 9 0.00643 4.18× 4.2% 0.3% NOKAED, SCRGBP
GBPTHB 10 0.00636 4.13× 4.2% 0.5% SCRGBP, NOKAED, USDSCR

Rising influence vs 2024-10-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.010190.00273 +0.00746
SCRGBP 0.008210.00172 +0.00649
GBPTHB 0.006360.00146 +0.00490
PENCOP 0.006570.00178 +0.00479
XAGARS 0.005030.00036 +0.00467

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.000430.01276 -0.01233
JPYPKR 0.000340.01153 -0.01119
MXNBRL 0.001110.00832 -0.00721
LRDGBP 0.000500.00594 -0.00544
MXNCOP 0.001230.00618 -0.00496

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.