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Daily network digest

Thursday, October 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.25× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.130
Clustering
0.353
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02443 5.25× 66.4% 19.6% ICXUSD, LCXUSD, BOBAUSD, KRLUSD, SRMUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02118 4.55× 51.4% 17.8% SKLUSD, GNOUSD, FORTHUSD, FARMUSD, HNTUSD
REPUSD 3 0.02062 4.43× 47.7% 20.6% SGBUSD, ZENUSD, LCXUSD, XAUTUSD, PAXGUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01696 3.65× 39.3% 9.3% LTCBTC, BCHUSD, LCXUSD, ETHUSD, AKTEUR
XAUTUSD 5 0.01451 3.12× 41.6% 20.1% SKLUSD, HNTUSD, FARMUSD, IMXUSD, NKNUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01358 2.92× 33.2% 27.1% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, LCXUSD, XLMUSD, ELAUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.01340 2.88× 33.6% 10.7% UMAUSD, OGNUSD, ANKRUSD, PERPUSD, BTCEUR
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01205 2.59× 32.7% 34.1% ETHUSD, BTTUSD, COMPUSD, 1INCHUSD, OXYUSD
TRBUSD 9 0.01142 2.46× 33.6% 11.2% ACHUSD, XRPBTC, SGBUSD, SHIBUSD, CRVUSD
XYOUSD 10 0.01117 2.40× 31.3% 11.2% USTUSD, REPUSD, FTMUSD, BTTUSD, BTCAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.021180.01090 +0.01028
XRPBTC 0.024430.01438 +0.01005
ELAUSD 0.010440.00232 +0.00812
FORTUSD 0.010890.00347 +0.00741
TRXUSD 0.010210.00402 +0.00619

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001560.01809 -0.01652
BTCJPY 0.002640.01316 -0.01052
DUSKUSD 0.003490.01059 -0.00710
XDCUSD 0.013400.02030 -0.00690
DOTUSD 0.001290.00743 -0.00614

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 8.32× the influence of an average node across 652 pairs.

pairs
652
Density
0.026
Clustering
0.334
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01276 8.32× 1.7% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 2 0.01153 7.52× 1.2% 0.2% PKRJPY
MXNBRL 3 0.00832 5.42× 11.7% 4.0% DKKZAR, MXNCOP, DKKRUB, ARSMXN, NZDHUF
GBPBRL 4 0.00808 5.27× 13.2% 1.5% DKKRUB, EURRUB, RUBEUR, CLPMXN, XAGJPY
BRLUSD 5 0.00794 5.18× 12.9% 2.0% EURRUB, MXNCOP, DKKRUB, RUBEUR, USDZMW
BRLHKD 6 0.00792 5.16× 12.9% 1.5% DKKRUB, MXNPEN, RUBEUR, EURRUB, MXNCOP
XAGBRL 7 0.00698 4.55× 11.8% 6.5% MXNCAD, DKKMXN, MXNDKK, CADMXN, XAGCAD
DKKRUB 8 0.00661 4.31× 6.0% 2.9% USDNOK, XAGBRL, ETBUSD, XAGGBP, XAGCAD
XAUZAR 9 0.00629 4.10× 6.8% 6.9% RONZAR, ZARIDR, ZARRON, XAUJPY, ZARPLN
EURRUB 10 0.00627 4.09× 7.1% 6.3% USDNOK, SEKNOK, ETBUSD, NGNUSD, GBPETB

Rising influence vs 2024-10-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LRDGBP 0.005940.00042 +0.00551
XAGBRL 0.006980.00181 +0.00517
MXNBRL 0.008320.00358 +0.00474
BRLUSD 0.007940.00335 +0.00459
BRLHKD 0.007920.00338 +0.00454

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCOP 0.000800.00895 -0.00816
RUBEUR 0.004930.01042 -0.00549
NOKRUB 0.000500.00588 -0.00537
EURTWD 0.000350.00519 -0.00485
BRLCAD 0.000380.00500 -0.00463

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.