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Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.84× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.122
Clustering
0.332
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03649 7.84× 62.1% 24.3% AXSUSD, XRPBTC, FETUSD, APEUSD, KRLUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.02182 4.69× 53.3% 30.8% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, NANOUSD, DSHUSD, FORTHUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.02088 4.49× 53.3% 29.4% 1INCHUSD, KRLUSD, FORTHUSD, FTMUSD, ACHUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01463 3.15× 35.5% 23.8% VTHOUSD, AAVEUSD, PAXGUSD, TVKUSD, YFIUSD
PAXGUSD 5 0.01283 2.76× 33.6% 2.3% SGBUSD, NKNUSD, BTRSTUSD, AVAXUSD, OXTUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01242 2.67× 29.9% 29.4% XDCUSD, GHSTUSD, LCXUSD, DOTUSD, COMPUSD
XAUTUSD 7 0.01200 2.58× 35.0% 2.3% FXUSD, KRLUSD, GHSTUSD, MKRUSD, LPTUSD
KRLUSD 8 0.01165 2.51× 22.4% 12.1% DARUSD, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, BTRSTUSD, AKTUSD
ORCAUSD 9 0.01124 2.42× 32.2% 16.4% SWFTCUSD, XRPBTC, YFIUSD, AERGOUSD, FORTHUSD
FXUSD 10 0.01088 2.34× 22.4% 9.3% AUCTIONUSD, XRPUSD, SRMUSD, CHREUR, MATICUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.036490.01184 +0.02465
ETHBTC 0.021820.00758 +0.01424
HNTUSD 0.020880.00952 +0.01136
ORCAUSD 0.011240.00202 +0.00922
FXUSD 0.010880.00433 +0.00656

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.012420.02328 -0.01086
PAXGUSD 0.012830.02104 -0.00821
XDCUSD 0.005720.01340 -0.00768
TRBUSD 0.004520.01194 -0.00741
REPUSD 0.008730.01601 -0.00729

Foreign exchange

SCRUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.37× the influence of an average node across 644 pairs.

pairs
644
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.331
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SCRUSD 1 0.00989 6.37× 11.0% 6.2% XAGBRL, MXNSGD, NOKILS, BRLCLP, MXNUSD
NOKAED 2 0.00848 5.46× 5.9% 4.5% USDZAR, RUBPLN, MXNZAR, USDDOP, JPYEUR
SCRGBP 3 0.00844 5.43× 5.9% 2.5% ILSPLN, GBPBHD, AUDKRW, AUDAED, ILSJOD
ILSPLN 4 0.00794 5.12× 4.8% 4.8% ZARUSD, ZARAED, ZARDKK, PLNILS, SGDZAR
ZARTRY 5 0.00743 4.79× 16.3% 12.6% ARSMXN, ARSZAR, EURAED, GBPBRL, XAUAUD
EURRUB 6 0.00739 4.76× 10.1% 5.8% ARSJPY, SGDJPY, ARSMXN, ARSCAD, CLPAUD
RUBEUR 7 0.00712 4.58× 6.8% 2.5% GBPBRL, CDFUSD, GBPCDF, CHFMYR, CDFGBP
SGDTHB 8 0.00667 4.30× 4.2% 0.3% NOKAED, SCRGBP
GBPTHB 9 0.00667 4.30× 4.2% 0.3% SCRGBP, NOKAED
ZARIDR 10 0.00591 3.81× 11.7% 0.9% SCRUSD, RUBEUR, EURRUB, USDALL, DKKRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-10-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SCRUSD 0.009890.00258 +0.00731
SCRGBP 0.008440.00247 +0.00597
ZARIDR 0.005910.00037 +0.00554
NOKAED 0.008480.00301 +0.00547
ZARTRY 0.007430.00223 +0.00520

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.000420.01200 -0.01158
JPYPKR 0.000330.01149 -0.01115
MXNBRL 0.001170.00657 -0.00540
JPYCLP 0.000520.00493 -0.00441
LRDGBP 0.000450.00450 -0.00405

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.