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Daily network digest

Monday, October 14, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 5.01× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.133
Clustering
0.348
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.02328 5.01× 61.7% 21.0% LCXUSD, BOBAUSD, KRLUSD, ICXUSD, SRMUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.02104 4.52× 52.3% 19.6% FARMUSD, SKLUSD, XLMUSD, XDCUSD, AUCTIONUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01764 3.79× 40.7% 7.5% LTCBTC, AKTEUR, BCHUSD, LCXUSD, XRPBTC
REPUSD 4 0.01601 3.44× 38.8% 25.2% SGBUSD, ZENUSD, LCXUSD, XLMUSD, PAXGUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01340 2.88× 35.0% 12.6% UMAUSD, ANKRUSD, NMRUSD, PERPUSD, LCXUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01307 2.81× 40.7% 20.1% HNTUSD, FORTHUSD, FARMUSD, SKLUSD, IMXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.01258 2.71× 27.1% 30.8% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, XRPUSD, RUNEUSD
TRBUSD 8 0.01194 2.57× 34.1% 13.1% ACHUSD, QNTUSD, AKTUSD, SWFTCUSD, SGBUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.01184 2.55× 30.8% 33.2% COMPUSD, BTTUSD, ETHUSD, 1INCHUSD, BANDUSD
LCXUSD 10 0.01173 2.52× 23.8% 25.7% LQTYUSD, HNTUSD, ACHUSD, JASMYUSD, ORNUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRPBTC 0.023280.01246 +0.01081
PAXGUSD 0.021040.01028 +0.01077
LCXUSD 0.011730.00520 +0.00653
TRACUSD 0.011430.00510 +0.00632
ELAUSD 0.008550.00282 +0.00573

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001390.01705 -0.01567
BTCJPY 0.002520.01405 -0.01152
REPUSD 0.016010.02699 -0.01098
DUSKUSD 0.003690.01088 -0.00719
XDCUSD 0.013400.02041 -0.00701

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.79× the influence of an average node across 649 pairs.

pairs
649
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.344
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01200 7.79× 1.7% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 2 0.01149 7.45× 1.5% 0.2% PKRJPY
XAUZAR 3 0.00750 4.87× 6.8% 7.4% XAUJPY, XAGZAR, ZARPLN, TRYZAR, ZARDKK
XAUARS 4 0.00713 4.63× 1.4% 2.6% JPYGBP, CHFIDR, JPYIDR, JPYSEK, PHPJPY
MXNBRL 5 0.00657 4.26× 11.4% 3.9% DKKRUB, DKKZAR, ARSMXN, NZDHUF, MXNCOP
ZARDKK 6 0.00615 3.99× 17.7% 6.9% GBPLSL, GBPSZL, ZARMAD, SZLGBP, MADZAR
BRLHKD 7 0.00592 3.84× 12.0% 1.9% ZARSEK, DKKRUB, MXNPEN, EURRUB, RUBEUR
XAGBRL 8 0.00584 3.79× 11.7% 6.6% DKKMXN, CADMXN, JPYMXN, MXNDKK, MXNCAD
EURCLP 9 0.00541 3.51× 0.5% 0.2% GBPXPF
BRLZAR 10 0.00522 3.39× 5.2% 2.2% RUBNOK, JPYPLN, PLNJPY, ILSJOD, PLNDKK

Rising influence vs 2024-10-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYPKR 0.011490.00030 +0.01119
MXNBRL 0.006570.00109 +0.00548
XAUARS 0.007130.00242 +0.00471
JPYCLP 0.004930.00058 +0.00435
XAGBRL 0.005840.00153 +0.00432

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.003010.01003 -0.00702
RUBPLN 0.002490.00930 -0.00681
BRLJPY 0.000440.00641 -0.00596
TWDTHB 0.000470.00640 -0.00593
ZARIDR 0.000370.00528 -0.00491

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.