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Daily network digest

Thursday, October 10, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.41× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.129
Clustering
0.350
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02517 5.41× 50.5% 18.7% LPTUSD, GNOUSD, UMAUSD, MLNUSD, DOTUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02356 5.07× 51.4% 15.9% STORJUSD, NKNUSD, SGBUSD, HNTUSD, SRMUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01831 3.94× 52.8% 36.4% CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, ETCUSD, LINKUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.01327 2.85× 31.8% 22.4% VTHOUSD, OXYUSD, ATOMUSD, XTZUSD, FETUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.01299 2.79× 35.5% 13.1% BNTUSD, TRUUSD, XDCUSD, VTHOUSD, PAXUSD
BTCJPY 6 0.01265 2.72× 30.4% 31.8% QNTUSD, NEXOUSD, PNKUSD, LTCUSD, IOTXUSD
AMPUSD 7 0.01189 2.56× 31.3% 15.0% CHZUSD, COMPUSD, MKRUSD, CHREUR, TUSD
UMAUSD 8 0.01182 2.54× 28.5% 11.7% ZRXUSD, DARUSD, SUKUUSD, OXYUSD, API3USD
PAXGUSD 9 0.01126 2.42× 30.8% 8.4% ASMUSD, XAUTUSD, FXUSD, CVXUSD, MKRUSD
ASMUSD 10 0.01079 2.32× 27.1% 22.4% ANKRUSD, TRUUSD, KRLUSD, FARMUSD, OGNUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.023560.00558 +0.01798
TSDUSD 0.018310.00375 +0.01456
REPUSD 0.025170.01195 +0.01322
TRBUSD 0.010350.00427 +0.00608
UMAUSD 0.011820.00624 +0.00557

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010760.03291 -0.02215
ORCAUSD 0.003590.01699 -0.01340
HNTUSD 0.009610.02106 -0.01145
ETHBTC 0.008960.02022 -0.01126
FXUSD 0.005590.01184 -0.00625

Foreign exchange

GBPBRL was the most central name, carrying 6.34× the influence of an average node across 642 pairs.

pairs
642
Density
0.027
Clustering
0.320
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPBRL 1 0.00987 6.34× 12.8% 1.2% DKKRUB, CLPMXN, EURRUB, MXNPEN, RUBEUR
BRLUSD 2 0.00968 6.21× 12.3% 1.7% EURRUB, DKKRUB, RUBEUR, USDZMW, XAURUB
MXNBRL 3 0.00935 6.00× 11.2% 3.7% DKKZAR, DKKRUB, ZARTRY, NZDHUF, MXNSGD
SEKNOK 4 0.00888 5.70× 8.1% 3.9% XAUSAR, NZDMXN, COPUSD, XAUUSD, XAUZAR
COPMXN 5 0.00871 5.59× 2.2% 1.9% INRSEK, KRWBRL, SGDNOK, BRLAUD, BRLCOP
CHFJPY 6 0.00812 5.21× 1.9% 0.2% COPMXN
COPBRL 7 0.00792 5.08× 12.9% 3.4% ZMWUSD, DKKRUB, EURRUB, RUBEUR, XAUBRL
RUBNOK 8 0.00739 4.75× 11.1% 4.4% SCRUSD, USDMAD, ILSUSD, ILSAED, ETBGBP
XAGBRL 9 0.00736 4.72× 9.5% 6.1% XAGCAD, DKKMXN, MXNDKK, MXNCAD, AUDMXN
USDPGK 10 0.00720 4.62× 11.5% 4.4% BRLHKD, ZARBRL, NOKAED, OMRGBP, SZLGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-10-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CHFJPY 0.008120.00133 +0.00679
MXNBRL 0.009350.00315 +0.00621
BRLUSD 0.009680.00377 +0.00591
SEKNOK 0.008880.00313 +0.00576
GBPBRL 0.009870.00417 +0.00570

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBEUR 0.004340.00941 -0.00508
GBPNGN 0.000500.00547 -0.00497
CADRUB 0.000820.00562 -0.00480
BRLCAD 0.000410.00461 -0.00421
JPYTHB 0.000370.00442 -0.00405

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.