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Daily network digest

Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.08× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.125
Clustering
0.345
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.03291 7.08× 61.7% 29.9% AAVEUSD, GALAUSD, XRPBTC, FETUSD, STORJUSD
HNTUSD 2 0.02106 4.53× 52.8% 30.8% 1INCHUSD, OXYUSD, KRLUSD, ACHUSD, FORTHUSD
ETHBTC 3 0.02022 4.35× 53.3% 31.8% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, FLOWUSD, DASHUSD, ETCUSD
ORCAUSD 4 0.01699 3.65× 47.7% 17.3% SWFTCUSD, EGLDUSD, YFIUSD, AERGOUSD, ABTUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01299 2.79× 32.7% 18.7% VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, TVKUSD, PAXGUSD, NANOUSD
PAXGUSD 6 0.01229 2.64× 30.8% 9.8% AVAXUSD, YFIUSD, QNTUSD, MKRUSD, SGBUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.01227 2.64× 30.4% 24.8% XDCUSD, DOTUSD, GHSTUSD, LCXUSD, KEEPUSD
XAUTUSD 8 0.01201 2.58× 35.5% 12.1% MKRUSD, YFIUSD, KRLUSD, FXUSD, BTCGBP
REPUSD 9 0.01195 2.57× 32.2% 17.3% HBARUSD, YGGEUR, AUCTIONUSD, KNCUSD, CLVUSD
FXUSD 10 0.01184 2.55× 30.4% 9.8% HNTUSD, AUCTIONUSD, XRPUSD, SRMUSD, CHRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.032910.01222 +0.02069
ORCAUSD 0.016990.00230 +0.01470
HNTUSD 0.021060.00795 +0.01311
ETHBTC 0.020220.00762 +0.01261
FXUSD 0.011840.00428 +0.00756

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.011950.02288 -0.01093
XRPBTC 0.012270.02244 -0.01018
PAXGUSD 0.012290.02220 -0.00992
XDCUSD 0.005580.01430 -0.00873
TRBUSD 0.004270.01210 -0.00783

Foreign exchange

RUBEUR was the most central name, carrying 6.14× the influence of an average node across 652 pairs.

pairs
652
Density
0.029
Clustering
0.342
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBEUR 1 0.00941 6.14× 12.3% 4.1% JPYMYR, BRLCAD, SGDBRL, XAGTRY, USDNOK
DKKRUB 2 0.00723 4.72× 10.0% 4.8% JPYMYR, USDNOK, XAGTRY, SGDBRL, BRLCAD
EURRUB 3 0.00638 4.16× 12.1% 7.5% JPYMYR, JPYILS, SEKNOK, NOKJPY, SGDBRL
CADRUB 4 0.00562 3.66× 0.5% 0.2% GBPNGN
GBPNGN 5 0.00547 3.57× 0.5% 0.2% CADRUB
AUDSEK 6 0.00534 3.48× 6.3% 2.0% CHFCLP, MURGBP, CLPCHF, ZARHUF, JPYNZD
MXNARS 7 0.00533 3.47× 2.6% 0.5% CNYZAR, TWDZAR, JPYZAR
ZARIDR 8 0.00523 3.41× 10.0% 3.1% DKKRUB, ARSZAR, EURPHP, EURJOD, LSLUSD
BRLCOP 9 0.00498 3.25× 3.8% 1.8% ZARHKD, USDBRL, ZARCHF, THBJPY, ILSSEK
BRLCLP 10 0.00474 3.09× 14.1% 6.6% NGNUSD, XAGCNY, CLPMXN, XAGKRW, XAGMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-10-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CADRUB 0.005620.00030 +0.00532
AUDSEK 0.005340.00083 +0.00451
ILSNOK 0.004710.00050 +0.00421
GBPNGN 0.005470.00147 +0.00400
BRLCAD 0.004610.00065 +0.00396

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.003040.01048 -0.00744
RUBPLN 0.003440.01068 -0.00724
TWDTHB 0.000430.00657 -0.00615
BRLJPY 0.000820.00586 -0.00504
SCRGBP 0.001770.00642 -0.00465

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.