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Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.92× the influence of an average node across 215 assets.

assets
215
Density
0.129
Clustering
0.350
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02288 4.92× 47.7% 20.6% SGBUSD, XLMUSD, ZENUSD, PAXGUSD, LCXUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.02244 4.83× 63.6% 18.7% ICXUSD, BOBAUSD, SRMUSD, XRDUSD, LCXUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.02220 4.77× 53.7% 30.8% GNOUSD, XDCUSD, IMXUSD, FORTHUSD, SKLUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01798 3.87× 40.7% 9.3% BCHUSD, LTCBTC, FETUSD, LCXUSD, BONDUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01430 3.08× 35.5% 15.0% MDTUSD, VOXELUSD, PERPUSD, ANKRUSD, UMAUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.01381 2.97× 41.1% 25.2% NKNUSD, XDCUSD, GNOUSD, HNTUSD, FARMUSD
BONDUSD 7 0.01293 2.78× 36.9% 16.4% MKRUSD, YFIUSD, OXYUSD, REPUSD, BOSONUSD
BTRSTUSD 8 0.01222 2.63× 29.4% 34.1% COMPUSD, BTTUSD, BANDUSD, 1INCHUSD, IOTXUSD
TRBUSD 9 0.01210 2.60× 33.2% 14.5% ACHUSD, MIRUSD, BATUSD, SHIBUSD, ETHUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.01200 2.58× 26.6% 27.1% AERGOUSD, UMAUSD, XRPAUD, BNTUSD, XRPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.022200.01122 +0.01099
XRPBTC 0.022440.01379 +0.00865
TRACUSD 0.009760.00340 +0.00636
BCHUSD 0.007630.00148 +0.00615
LCXUSD 0.011030.00550 +0.00553

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.001460.01776 -0.01630
BTCJPY 0.002100.01420 -0.01210
XDCUSD 0.014300.02513 -0.01082
UMAUSD 0.004580.01252 -0.00793
JSTUSD 0.006830.01333 -0.00650

Foreign exchange

RUBPLN was the most central name, carrying 6.83× the influence of an average node across 639 pairs.

pairs
639
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBPLN 1 0.01068 6.83× 6.9% 3.6% PLNILS, GBPOMR, GBPKWD, RUBNOK, USDRWF
NOKAED 2 0.01048 6.70× 8.2% 7.8% AUDPGK, GBPPGK, PGKGBP, LSLGBP, SZLGBP
EURRUB 3 0.00856 5.47× 10.2% 2.7% SGDJPY, CLPAUD, XAGSAR, ETBUSD, USDKRW
DKKRUB 4 0.00721 4.61× 5.5% 1.6% CHFMYR, ETBUSD, ARSZAR, XAGMXN, CHFSZL
RUBEUR 5 0.00711 4.54× 6.1% 2.7% EURKWD, XAGSAR, KRWTHB, GBPBRL, KRWEUR
ZARTRY 6 0.00674 4.31× 13.9% 8.6% ARSZAR, XAUAUD, EURAED, GBPBRL, QARAED
TWDTHB 7 0.00657 4.20× 3.6% 0.5% BRLPEN, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
SCRGBP 8 0.00642 4.10× 8.5% 2.7% AUDAED, USDSCR, GBPBHD, ILSPLN, NZDKRW
CHFPKR 9 0.00607 3.88× 1.1% 3.4% CHFTHB, GBPARS, AUDNOK, CADTHB, NOKGBP
BRLJPY 10 0.00586 3.75× 2.2% 0.3% MURUSD, USDKES

Rising influence vs 2024-10-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKAED 0.010480.00345 +0.00703
TWDTHB 0.006570.00057 +0.00600
RUBPLN 0.010680.00471 +0.00597
EURRUB 0.008560.00274 +0.00582
BRLJPY 0.005860.00042 +0.00545

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.001640.00899 -0.00736
CHFJPY 0.001510.00795 -0.00644
USDPGK 0.001650.00789 -0.00624
MXNBRL 0.001140.00722 -0.00607
KRWBRL 0.000360.00559 -0.00523

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.