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Daily network digest

Monday, October 7, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.45× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.127
Clustering
0.354
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.02545 5.45× 51.6% 15.5% LPTUSD, GNOUSD, MLNUSD, VOXELUSD, DOTUSD
XDCUSD 2 0.02513 5.38× 54.9% 17.4% STORJUSD, NKNUSD, SGBUSD, GNOUSD, ALPHAUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01776 3.80× 53.5% 35.2% CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD, SCUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01502 3.22× 38.5% 11.7% BNTUSD, VTHOUSD, TRUUSD, DOTUSD, PAXUSD
BTCJPY 5 0.01420 3.04× 32.4% 33.3% NEXOUSD, PNKUSD, LTCUSD, QNTUSD, OXYUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.01379 2.95× 33.3% 22.5% FETUSD, ATOMUSD, XTZUSD, VTHOUSD, OXYUSD
JSTUSD 7 0.01333 2.85× 34.7% 21.1% CLVUSD, ORNUSD, FARMUSD, PNKUSD, FISUSD
UMAUSD 8 0.01252 2.68× 31.0% 12.7% ZRXUSD, SUKUUSD, DARUSD, COTIUSD, C98USD
MKRUSD 9 0.01136 2.43× 27.7% 13.1% SCUSD, NEOUSD, GTCUSD, XRPBTC, XYOUSD
PAXGUSD 10 0.01122 2.40× 29.6% 7.0% MKRUSD, FXUSD, ASMUSD, XAUTUSD, XRPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.025130.00601 +0.01912
REPUSD 0.025450.01164 +0.01381
TRBUSD 0.010610.00406 +0.00654
BTCJPY 0.014200.00769 +0.00651
UMAUSD 0.012520.00682 +0.00570

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009850.03310 -0.02325
ORCAUSD 0.004280.01841 -0.01413
ETHBTC 0.008620.02229 -0.01368
HNTUSD 0.011070.02175 -0.01069
LTCBTC 0.007660.01433 -0.00667

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.79× the influence of an average node across 644 pairs.

pairs
644
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.333
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00899 5.79× 2.2% 2.0% KRWBRL, CZKJPY, BRLAUD, JPYCZK, SGDNOK
RUBNOK 2 0.00802 5.16× 8.7% 4.4% USDBIF, USDMAD, ILSUSD, SCRUSD, USDZAR
CHFJPY 3 0.00795 5.12× 1.9% 0.2% COPMXN
USDPGK 4 0.00789 5.08× 8.7% 3.9% ZARBRL, KWDGBP, LSLGBP, BRLHKD, BRLZAR
XAUZAR 5 0.00759 4.89× 4.0% 6.5% XAGZAR, XAUJPY, ZARPLN, TRYZAR, ZARDKK
MXNBRL 6 0.00722 4.65× 11.2% 4.2% DKKZAR, MXNCOP, DKKRUB, ZARDKK, NZDHUF
ARSJPY 7 0.00646 4.16× 7.6% 10.0% SGDJPY, LSLUSD, SZLUSD, USDBWP, ARSZAR
ZARDKK 8 0.00629 4.05× 16.3% 4.7% SZLUSD, USDBWP, LSLUSD, ARSCAD, SGDJPY
ARSCHF 9 0.00619 3.99× 10.9% 6.1% ARSZAR, SGDZAR, SZLUSD, LSLUSD, USDBWP
ARSCAD 10 0.00572 3.68× 5.9% 2.2% SZLUSD, LSLUSD, USDBWP, AUDMAD, CLPAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.007890.00139 +0.00650
CHFJPY 0.007950.00171 +0.00624
MXNBRL 0.007220.00150 +0.00572
KRWBRL 0.005590.00029 +0.00530
XAUZAR 0.007590.00328 +0.00431

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DKKRUB 0.002010.01390 -0.01190
IDRZAR 0.002690.01042 -0.00772
ZARIDR 0.000360.00638 -0.00602
ZARTRY 0.001830.00705 -0.00522
NOKAED 0.003450.00851 -0.00506

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.