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Daily network digest

Friday, October 4, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.71× the influence of an average node across 214 assets.

assets
214
Density
0.122
Clustering
0.345
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.02670 5.71× 52.1% 15.0% STORJUSD, SGBUSD, NKNUSD, GNOUSD, ALPHAUSD
REPUSD 2 0.02273 4.86× 43.7% 12.7% LPTUSD, DNTUSD, VOXELUSD, MLNUSD, GNOUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01768 3.78× 53.1% 39.9% CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, ETCUSD, LOKAUSD
BTCJPY 4 0.01489 3.19× 32.4% 29.6% PNKUSD, NEXOUSD, QNTUSD, LTCUSD, XRPUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.01405 3.01× 33.3% 18.8% FETUSD, SWFTCUSD, OXYUSD, XLMUSD, VTHOUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.01277 2.73× 31.5% 11.3% BNTUSD, UMAUSD, PAXUSD, VTHOUSD, XDCUSD
JSTUSD 7 0.01269 2.72× 32.4% 18.3% ORNUSD, CLVUSD, FARMUSD, PNKUSD, FISUSD
MKRUSD 8 0.01229 2.63× 27.7% 11.3% NEOUSD, SCUSD, VTHOUSD, AKTEUR, DASHUSD
PAXGUSD 9 0.01136 2.43× 30.0% 9.9% ASMUSD, HNTUSD, XAUTUSD, CVXUSD, MKRUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.01136 2.43× 28.6% 34.3% MASKUSD, SUKUUSD, FARMUSD, PERPUSD, GHSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.026700.00455 +0.02215
REPUSD 0.022730.00827 +0.01446
TSDUSD 0.017680.00353 +0.01416
BTCJPY 0.014890.00337 +0.01152
MKRUSD 0.012290.00465 +0.00764

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010710.01759 -0.00687
ORCAUSD 0.005040.01006 -0.00502
ETHBTC 0.009140.01377 -0.00463
DYDXEUR 0.002320.00528 -0.00295
SOLUSD 0.001920.00467 -0.00275

Foreign exchange

DKKRUB was the most central name, carrying 9.02× the influence of an average node across 649 pairs.

pairs
649
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.315
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DKKRUB 1 0.01390 9.02× 4.9% 1.9% CHFMYR, ETBUSD, ARSZAR, CHFSZL, XAGMXN
IDRZAR 2 0.01042 6.76× 3.5% 4.0% NZDINR, EURSAR, AUDINR, BWPZAR, ZARBWP
NOKAED 3 0.00851 5.52× 4.6% 2.5% JPYZAR, CADZAR, GBPTHB, NZDZAR, HKDZAR
RUBPLN 4 0.00828 5.37× 7.3% 2.8% RUBEUR, PLNILS, USDRWF, MYRJPY, AUDBRL
XAURUB 5 0.00710 4.61× 7.4% 6.0% MXNCAD, JPYMXN, NZDMXN, MXNPEN, CADMXN
ZARTRY 6 0.00705 4.58× 14.2% 7.9% ARSZAR, XAUAUD, SZLUSD, LSLUSD, DKKRUB
COPMXN 7 0.00654 4.24× 1.1% 1.1% BRLCOP, EURTWD, MXNCZK, TWDTHB, PENMXN
ZARIDR 8 0.00638 4.14× 9.7% 0.2% DKKRUB
SCRGBP 9 0.00634 4.12× 7.3% 1.9% EURRUB, USDSCR, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, CHFKRW
EURCLP 10 0.00616 4.00× 1.1% 0.6% EURPEN, EURZMW, PKREUR, PENEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-10-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.010420.00275 +0.00767
DKKRUB 0.013900.00810 +0.00580
EURCLP 0.006160.00038 +0.00578
NOKAED 0.008510.00306 +0.00545
ZARIDR 0.006380.00201 +0.00437

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001390.00984 -0.00846
GBPBRL 0.004930.01300 -0.00807
BRLUSD 0.004930.01255 -0.00761
RUBUSD 0.000920.00851 -0.00758
COPBRL 0.004620.01047 -0.00585

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.