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Daily network digest

Thursday, October 3, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.21× the influence of an average node across 296 assets.

assets
296
Density
0.146
Clustering
0.341
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01759 5.21× 50.5% 15.6% XRPBTC, LPTUSD, WOOUSD, GALAUSD, AVAXUSD
ETHBTC 2 0.01377 4.08× 53.6% 29.5% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, DASHUSD, LUNAUSD, ETCUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.01334 3.95× 47.5% 23.1% KRLUSD, 1INCHUSD, FORTHUSD, OXYUSD, LITUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01045 3.09× 36.9% 16.3% MINAUSD, MASKUSD, MUSEUSD, REPUSD, PAXGUSD
ORCAUSD 5 0.01006 2.98× 44.4% 14.9% SWFTCUSD, CBETHUSD, BLURUSD, FISUSD, AUCTIONUSD
DIMOUSD 6 0.00979 2.90× 36.9% 26.8% DYDXUSD, CVCUSD, BTCGBP, RENUSD, BTCEUR
XRPBTC 7 0.00923 2.73× 34.6% 27.5% XDCUSD, WAXLUSD, KEEPUSD, LCXUSD, GHSTUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00827 2.45× 30.5% 11.9% HBARUSD, BTRSTUSD, FXSUSD, DIMOUSD, CLVUSD
XAUTUSD 9 0.00808 2.39× 28.8% 27.1% SDNUSD, MKRUSD, IOTXUSD, WOOUSD, BTCGBP
PAXGUSD 10 0.00748 2.21× 27.5% 14.6% SDNUSD, IOTXUSD, TOKEUSD, BNCUSD, SGBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ETHBTC 0.013770.00552 +0.00824
BTRSTUSD 0.017590.00950 +0.00809
ORCAUSD 0.010060.00247 +0.00758
HNTUSD 0.013340.00601 +0.00733
DIMOUSD 0.009790.00314 +0.00665

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LMWRUSD 0.001730.00903 -0.00731
XDCUSD 0.004550.01042 -0.00587
POLSUSD 0.002100.00791 -0.00581
PAXGUSD 0.007480.01299 -0.00551
KRLUSD 0.007350.01231 -0.00496

Foreign exchange

GBPBRL was the most central name, carrying 8.28× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.025
Clustering
0.352
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPBRL 1 0.01300 8.28× 12.3% 1.1% DKKRUB, CLPMXN, MXNPEN, ZARTRY, XAGTRY
BRLUSD 2 0.01255 7.99× 12.1% 1.3% DKKRUB, XAURUB, USDZMW, MXNPEN, XAGGBP
COPBRL 3 0.01047 6.67× 12.7% 2.4% ZMWUSD, DKKRUB, GBPBRL, XAUBRL, ZARNZD
USDPGK 4 0.00984 6.27× 11.0% 5.2% BWPGBP, ZARBRL, BRLHKD, LRDGBP, MXNBRL
RUBUSD 5 0.00851 5.42× 1.1% 0.3% EURARS, RUBCHF
DKKRUB 6 0.00810 5.16× 3.9% 2.0% XAGBRL, USDNOK, XAGGBP, XAGCAD, XAUMXN
XAUBRL 7 0.00741 4.72× 12.7% 7.4% XAUJPY, XAGBRL, XAGTRY, XAGCAD, XAGZAR
JPYMXN 8 0.00697 4.44× 9.7% 8.6% SGDJPY, XAGGBP, ZARMYR, XAGBRL, USDTHB
MXNPEN 9 0.00686 4.37× 10.1% 7.5% COPBRL, XAGBRL, XAUZAR, ZARINR, CHFBRL
EURRUB 10 0.00674 4.29× 8.5% 3.6% PLNILS, ILSPLN, GBPETB, TZSZAR, SGDARS

Rising influence vs 2024-10-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLUSD 0.012550.00344 +0.00910
GBPBRL 0.013000.00416 +0.00884
RUBUSD 0.008510.00073 +0.00777
COPBRL 0.010470.00285 +0.00762
XAUBRL 0.007410.00176 +0.00565

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.001540.01306 -0.01151
GBPNGN 0.000490.00465 -0.00417
BRLCAD 0.000430.00449 -0.00406
CADRUB 0.000690.00470 -0.00401
THBGBP 0.000630.00448 -0.00386

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.