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Daily network digest

Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.83× the influence of an average node across 295 assets.

assets
295
Density
0.149
Clustering
0.346
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.01299 3.83× 51.7% 29.9% GNOUSD, IMXUSD, CTSIUSD, SDNUSD, EWTUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.01297 3.83× 54.4% 17.7% BOBAUSD, ICXUSD, LCXUSD, KRLUSD, XDCUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01231 3.63× 39.8% 11.2% UNFIUSD, ENSUSD, INDEXUSD, XRTUSD, PRIMEUSD
REPUSD 4 0.01052 3.10× 33.7% 17.0% ZENUSD, XLMUSD, SGBUSD, XAUTUSD, IMXUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.01042 3.07× 41.8% 19.7% MDTUSD, ILVUSD, FTMUSD, INDEXUSD, NMRUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.00950 2.80× 35.7% 27.6% BTTUSD, COMPUSD, LMWRUSD, 1INCHUSD, BANDUSD
LMWRUSD 7 0.00903 2.66× 32.0% 24.5% ETHBTC, CTSIUSD, AAVEUSD, ACHUSD, HNTUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00849 2.51× 35.4% 24.1% AERGOUSD, ELAUSD, UMAUSD, BNTUSD, TIMEUSD
XAUTUSD 9 0.00835 2.46× 34.7% 28.2% FARMUSD, SDNUSD, SKLUSD, MCUSD, FORTHUSD
TRBUSD 10 0.00804 2.37× 35.4% 12.2% ACHUSD, BATUSD, GMXUSD, AKTUSD, CRVUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-10-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LMWRUSD 0.009030.00177 +0.00726
PAXGUSD 0.012990.00586 +0.00712
POLSUSD 0.007910.00163 +0.00628
XRPBTC 0.012970.00813 +0.00484
KRLUSD 0.012310.00758 +0.00473

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000820.00944 -0.00862
DIMOUSD 0.003140.00853 -0.00539
XDCUSD 0.010420.01570 -0.00528
BTCJPY 0.001720.00666 -0.00493
JSTUSD 0.003580.00736 -0.00378

Foreign exchange

AUDSEK was the most central name, carrying 8.39× the influence of an average node across 643 pairs.

pairs
643
Density
0.026
Clustering
0.337
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDSEK 1 0.01306 8.39× 5.6% 1.4% ILSNOK, JPYNZD, ZARHUF, INRSEK, KRWSEK
DKKRUB 2 0.01143 7.35× 10.1% 4.2% JPYMYR, BRLCAD, USDNOK, XAGTRY, XAGINR
RUBCHF 3 0.00567 3.64× 1.1% 0.6% SEKRUB, RUBSEK, NOKRUB, RUBDKK
RUBEUR 4 0.00513 3.30× 5.9% 2.5% ILSAED, SGDBRL, ILSUSD, RWFGBP, KRWTHB
USDPGK 5 0.00507 3.26× 7.6% 4.2% BWPGBP, GBPBWP, LBPUSD, USDLBP, JPYINR
XAGTRY 6 0.00502 3.23× 7.0% 5.8% MXNJPY, AUDILS, NOKILS, PENBRL, JPYMXN
IDRZAR 7 0.00494 3.18× 3.7% 1.4% JPYZAR, KWDGBP, OMRGBP, TWDZAR, JODILS
ZARIDR 8 0.00490 3.15× 9.0% 2.3% DKKRUB, ARSZAR, EURJOD, EURPHP, SZLUSD
ILSNOK 9 0.00482 3.10× 3.7% 2.8% GBPJPY, INRCHF, MYRHKD, EURJPY, ZARHUF
MXNARS 10 0.00481 3.09× 3.1% 2.6% AEDNOK, NOKAED, IDRZAR, EURSAR, AEDSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-10-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.013060.00048 +0.01258
ILSNOK 0.004820.00053 +0.00430
THBGBP 0.004480.00037 +0.00411
BRLCAD 0.004490.00063 +0.00386
USDPGK 0.005070.00137 +0.00370

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.004940.01061 -0.00567
RUBPLN 0.002860.00840 -0.00554
EURCLP 0.000270.00486 -0.00459
TWDTHB 0.000460.00493 -0.00447
XAURUB 0.002030.00631 -0.00428

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.