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Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 1, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.16× the influence of an average node across 329 assets.

assets
329
Density
0.140
Clustering
0.345
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01570 5.16× 56.1% 17.1% NKNUSD, STORJUSD, GNOUSD, HDXUSD, ALPHAUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01169 3.85× 39.9% 16.2% WAXLUSD, BICOUSD, LPTUSD, MLNUSD, DNTUSD
ROOKUSD 3 0.01045 3.44× 43.0% 22.6% VTHOUSD, EULUSD, ARPAUSD, MLNUSD, GHSTUSD
TSDUSD 4 0.00944 3.11× 47.9% 35.1% POLISUSD, CGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, EGLDUSD, SYNUSD
DIMOUSD 5 0.00853 2.81× 36.6% 22.0% FXUSD, RENUSD, TRUUSD, TRBUSD, EWTUSD
SHPINGUSD 6 0.00817 2.69× 31.4% 22.3% NYMUSD, DOTUSD, EWTUSD, MUSEUSD, CRVUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.00813 2.67× 34.5% 19.8% FETUSD, RBNUSD, AVAXUSD, XDCUSD, LINKUSD
FLRUSD 8 0.00788 2.59× 30.2% 19.8% OSMOUSD, CVXUSD, AKTEUR, BNTUSD, WAXLUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.00758 2.50× 34.1% 10.1% BNTUSD, VTHOUSD, XDCUSD, PAXUSD, KEEPUSD
BTRSTUSD 10 0.00741 2.44× 29.3% 24.4% LINKUSD, BTCEUR, XLMUSD, XRDUSD, DIMOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.015700.00354 +0.01216
ROOKUSD 0.010450.00312 +0.00733
TSDUSD 0.009440.00234 +0.00710
DIMOUSD 0.008530.00356 +0.00497
SHPINGUSD 0.008170.00390 +0.00427

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.003400.01024 -0.00683
HNTUSD 0.005830.01203 -0.00620
BTRSTUSD 0.007410.01353 -0.00612
CTXUSD 0.003520.00960 -0.00608
LTCBTC 0.004900.00964 -0.00474

Foreign exchange

DKKRUB was the most central name, carrying 9.53× the influence of an average node across 651 pairs.

pairs
651
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.320
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DKKRUB 1 0.01464 9.53× 5.1% 1.7% CHFMYR, ARSZAR, ETBUSD, CHFSZL, XAGMXN
IDRZAR 2 0.01061 6.91× 3.5% 3.8% EURSAR, NZDINR, AUDINR, GBPSAR, ZARCNY
RUBPLN 3 0.00840 5.47× 7.1% 2.3% RUBEUR, PLNILS, USDRWF, SGDPLN, MYRJPY
NOKAED 4 0.00830 5.41× 4.8% 2.5% JPYZAR, ZARCAD, GBPTHB, NZDZAR, INRZAR
ZARTRY 5 0.00697 4.53× 13.7% 8.0% ARSZAR, XAUAUD, GBPBRL, SZLUSD, DKKRUB
ZARIDR 6 0.00646 4.20× 9.7% 0.2% DKKRUB
XAURUB 7 0.00631 4.11× 7.1% 5.7% PLNMXN, CHFMXN, NZDMXN, MXNCHF, MXNCAD
CHFPKR 8 0.00610 3.97× 0.6% 2.3% CADNOK, SGDNOK, EURNOK, KRWZAR, ZARHKD
SCRGBP 9 0.00543 3.53× 6.9% 1.7% USDSCR, USDMAD, EURRUB, NZDKRW, CHFKRW
GBPBRL 10 0.00523 3.40× 8.9% 0.9% DKKRUB, XAURUB, XAGRUB, XAGINR, XAGMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-09-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DKKRUB 0.014640.00322 +0.01142
IDRZAR 0.010610.00357 +0.00705
ZARIDR 0.006460.00040 +0.00606
ZARTRY 0.006970.00107 +0.00589
NOKAED 0.008300.00378 +0.00453

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001370.01110 -0.00973
COPBRL 0.004300.01038 -0.00608
NZDAED 0.000680.00571 -0.00503
CHFBRL 0.000580.00536 -0.00478
RUBUSD 0.000950.00547 -0.00452

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.