catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.33× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.141
Clustering
0.346
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01615 5.33× 57.4% 13.4% NKNUSD, FLRUSD, STORJUSD, HDXUSD, SGBUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01263 4.17× 40.4% 24.6% WAXLUSD, AKTEUR, ICPUSD, PNKUSD, AIRUSD
ROOKUSD 3 0.00930 3.07× 36.5% 23.7% MEDIAUSD, VTHOUSD, MLNUSD, NYMUSD, EULUSD
TSDUSD 4 0.00922 3.04× 46.8% 37.1% POLISUSD, CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, SDNUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00856 2.83× 34.0% 24.9% RBNUSD, ATOMUSD, AURORAUSD, ACAUSD, LINKUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.00854 2.82× 37.4% 10.0% XDCUSD, VTHOUSD, PAXUSD, BNTUSD, SBRUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.00832 2.74× 34.7% 20.1% TRUUSD, RENUSD, REPUSD, DUSKUSD, FXUSD
SHPINGUSD 8 0.00812 2.68× 30.7% 21.6% DOTUSD, NYMUSD, EWTUSD, MUSEUSD, CROUSD
TRBUSD 9 0.00757 2.50× 38.3% 12.2% FXUSD, JASMYUSD, REPUSD, SHPINGUSD, MKRUSD
JSTUSD 10 0.00741 2.45× 31.9% 12.2% CLVUSD, SUIUSD, FARMUSD, PNKUSD, FISUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.016150.00349 +0.01266
TSDUSD 0.009220.00222 +0.00700
ROOKUSD 0.009300.00329 +0.00601
DIMOUSD 0.008320.00355 +0.00477
TRBUSD 0.007570.00316 +0.00441

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CTXUSD 0.003370.01133 -0.00796
BTRSTUSD 0.006550.01414 -0.00760
TEERUSD 0.003740.00976 -0.00602
EULUSD 0.003530.00930 -0.00577
ETHBTC 0.005850.01139 -0.00554

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.