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Daily network digest

Friday, September 27, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.68× the influence of an average node across 331 assets.

assets
331
Density
0.144
Clustering
0.346
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01414 4.68× 48.8% 26.7% EWTUSD, XRPBTC, APEUSD, ORNUSD, GALAUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01202 3.98× 47.6% 13.6% DUSKUSD, BOSONUSD, CQTUSD, CLVUSD, WAXLUSD
HNTUSD 3 0.01190 3.94× 51.5% 20.6% KRLUSD, FORTHUSD, INVUSD, 1INCHUSD, UMAUSD
ETHBTC 4 0.01139 3.77× 52.7% 27.3% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, DSHUSD, ETCUSD
CTXUSD 5 0.01133 3.75× 44.5% 12.4% TOKEUSD, LSETHUSD, MXCUSD, TUSD, KEYUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.01049 3.47× 40.9% 16.1% VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, KILTUSD, NANOUSD, TVKUSD
TEERUSD 7 0.00976 3.23× 41.5% 19.1% KINUSD, LITUSD, ENJUSD, BTRSTUSD, BOSONUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00930 3.08× 40.6% 12.1% NMRUSD, NODLUSD, LINKUSD, ASMUSD, RBCUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00717 2.37× 30.9% 46.4% ETHAUD, RARIUSD, QIUSD, 00USD, ETHBTC
XRPBTC 10 0.00703 2.33× 30.9% 20.9% XDCUSD, LCXUSD, GHSTUSD, KEEPUSD, BTTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.011900.00362 +0.00828
TEERUSD 0.009760.00258 +0.00718
CTXUSD 0.011330.00419 +0.00714
BTRSTUSD 0.014140.00701 +0.00713
ETHBTC 0.011390.00446 +0.00693

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.005080.01308 -0.00799
MULTIUSD 0.004240.01057 -0.00633
DIMOUSD 0.003550.00986 -0.00631
XDCUSD 0.003490.00974 -0.00624
SUIUSD 0.004140.00934 -0.00520

Foreign exchange

KWDEUR was the most central name, carrying 7.07× the influence of an average node across 646 pairs.

pairs
646
Density
0.019
Clustering
0.331
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KWDEUR 1 0.01095 7.07× 6.4% 3.9% CDFUSD, EURBHD, ZAREGP, USDSZL, SZLGBP
PENCOP 2 0.01002 6.47× 6.7% 2.3% KRWUSD, TWDKRW, CHFMYR, THBUSD, SZLCHF
DKKRUB 3 0.00898 5.80× 4.2% 1.1% CHFMYR, CHFSZL, JPYMYR, USDSEK, XAGMXN
SCRGBP 4 0.00796 5.14× 4.5% 1.7% GBPBHD, USDSCR, AUDAED, ILSPLN, AEDNOK
ZARTRY 5 0.00776 5.01× 12.9% 6.8% XAUAUD, XAGAUD, GBPBRL, XAGEUR, DKKRUB
THBEUR 6 0.00739 4.77× 4.5% 2.0% GBPCDF, JPYRSD, CDFUSD, CDFGBP, ISKCHF
MADAUD 7 0.00672 4.34× 3.1% 1.6% LBPUSD, EUROMR, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, CHFKRW
CHFPKR 8 0.00663 4.28× 0.9% 3.1% CHFTHB, GBPNOK, AUDTHB, USDARS, AUDNOK
ZARIDR 9 0.00610 3.94× 9.0% 2.0% PENCOP, PLNGBP, CZKPLN, NZDIDR, NZDPLN
SEKZAR 10 0.00609 3.93× 4.2% 0.9% CLPCHF, CHFCLP, CHFJPY, GBPNOK, NOKGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-09-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KWDEUR 0.010950.00217 +0.00878
THBEUR 0.007390.00062 +0.00677
SCRGBP 0.007960.00148 +0.00648
XAGARS 0.005950.00073 +0.00522
MADAUD 0.006720.00159 +0.00513

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001470.00970 -0.00823
BRLUSD 0.004320.01110 -0.00678
JPYMXN 0.001060.00678 -0.00572
EURRUB 0.003230.00884 -0.00561
XAGBRL 0.000930.00650 -0.00558

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.