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Daily network digest

Thursday, September 26, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.33× the influence of an average node across 331 assets.

assets
331
Density
0.145
Clustering
0.355
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.01308 4.33× 56.7% 18.2% REPV2USD, APEUSD, EWTUSD, BSXUSD, KRLUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01154 3.82× 40.0% 10.6% MULTIUSD, EULUSD, BLZUSD, HDXUSD, JUNOUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.01123 3.72× 55.2% 15.8% BOBAUSD, LCXUSD, KRLUSD, XCNUSD, XDCUSD
MULTIUSD 4 0.01057 3.50× 41.5% 23.9% DNTUSD, DYDXUSD, CTXUSD, GNOUSD, DYDXEUR
PAXGUSD 5 0.01002 3.32× 48.8% 28.5% GNOUSD, SDNUSD, XDCUSD, IMXUSD, CTSIUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00987 3.27× 43.3% 21.2% IMXUSD, RADUSD, STORJUSD, SGBUSD, AVTUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.00986 3.26× 47.0% 23.9% BNTUSD, ADXUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, TLOSUSD
XDCUSD 8 0.00974 3.22× 42.1% 13.6% SUIUSD, RADUSD, FTMUSD, XRDUSD, BOBAUSD
SUIUSD 9 0.00934 3.09× 37.3% 10.0% AVTUSD, INVUSD, XRDUSD, GNOUSD, DASHUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00856 2.83× 36.1% 25.8% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, UMAUSD, ELAUSD, PHAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.013080.00376 +0.00932
SUIUSD 0.009340.00460 +0.00474
PAXGUSD 0.010020.00617 +0.00384
ETH2XUSD 0.006300.00278 +0.00353
MULTIUSD 0.010570.00716 +0.00341

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000840.00908 -0.00824
XDCUSD 0.009740.01559 -0.00585
BTCJPY 0.001720.00672 -0.00500
REPUSD 0.009870.01457 -0.00470
JSTUSD 0.003370.00752 -0.00415

Foreign exchange

GBPBRL was the most central name, carrying 7.24× the influence of an average node across 631 pairs.

pairs
631
Density
0.024
Clustering
0.367
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPBRL 1 0.01148 7.24× 11.1% 0.8% DKKRUB, CLPBRL, ZARTRY, XAGJPY, XAGTRY
BRLUSD 2 0.01110 7.00× 10.8% 0.8% DKKRUB, XAURUB, XAGGBP, XAGJPY, ZARPLN
USDPGK 3 0.00970 6.12× 11.6% 5.1% BWPGBP, MXNBRL, LSLGBP, LRDGBP, BRLHKD
DKKRUB 4 0.00946 5.97× 3.5% 3.3% XAGBRL, USDNOK, XAGCAD, XAGGBP, XAUMXN
COPBRL 5 0.00898 5.67× 11.0% 1.7% DKKRUB, XAUBRL, ZARNZD, GBPBRL, XAGKRW
EURRUB 6 0.00884 5.58× 8.3% 4.4% ETBUSD, TZSZAR, ZARUGX, SGDARS, UGXZAR
CLPBRL 7 0.00760 4.80× 8.9% 4.6% XAGZAR, XAUMXN, XAUBRL, XAGAUD, XAGCAD
EGPZAR 8 0.00692 4.36× 7.3% 9.8% ZARKES, USDBWP, ZARMAD, EUREGP, KESZAR
JPYMXN 9 0.00678 4.28× 8.7% 7.6% XAGBRL, SGDJPY, ZARMYR, ZARINR, USDTHB
XAURUB 10 0.00668 4.22× 4.9% 7.1% XAGCAD, ZARPLN, XAUUSD, JPYMXN, MXNEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-09-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLUSD 0.011100.00366 +0.00744
GBPBRL 0.011480.00421 +0.00727
COPBRL 0.008980.00302 +0.00597
USDPGK 0.009700.00441 +0.00528
EURRUB 0.008840.00366 +0.00518

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PENBRL 0.001090.00651 -0.00542
EURUZS 0.001350.00653 -0.00518
EUROMR 0.001090.00596 -0.00486
BRLCLP 0.001600.00607 -0.00446
CADRUB 0.000690.00497 -0.00428

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.