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Daily network digest

Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

HNTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.51× the influence of an average node across 331 assets.

assets
331
Density
0.145
Clustering
0.352
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
HNTUSD 1 0.01361 4.51× 56.4% 19.1% KRLUSD, LDOUSD, INVUSD, FORTHUSD, ACHUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01301 4.31× 45.5% 33.3% EWTUSD, XRPBTC, AVAXUSD, ORNUSD, AXSUSD
CTXUSD 3 0.01193 3.95× 45.8% 13.9% TOKEUSD, XMRUSD, BITUSD, LSETHUSD, TUSD
REPUSD 4 0.01120 3.71× 45.8% 14.8% DUSKUSD, RADUSD, BOSONUSD, CQTUSD, LCXUSD
ETHBTC 5 0.01080 3.57× 51.8% 22.7% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, LUNAUSD, DSHUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.01038 3.44× 46.4% 17.9% KINUSD, BTRSTUSD, LITUSD, ENJUSD, BTCJPY
LTCBTC 7 0.01019 3.37× 40.9% 15.5% MASKUSD, VTHOUSD, TVKUSD, ETHAUD, NANOUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00952 3.15× 43.0% 13.9% NODLUSD, AERGOUSD, ASMUSD, LINKUSD, NMRUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00820 2.71× 32.7% 48.8% ETHAUD, RARIUSD, QIUSD, ETHBTC, 00USD
NODLUSD 10 0.00737 2.44× 33.6% 22.1% DYDXUSD, ZECUSD, ATOMUSD, ZENUSD, GNOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
HNTUSD 0.013610.00456 +0.00905
CTXUSD 0.011930.00377 +0.00816
TEERUSD 0.010380.00232 +0.00806
BTRSTUSD 0.013010.00683 +0.00619
ETHBTC 0.010800.00485 +0.00595

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.005290.01256 -0.00727
MULTIUSD 0.004150.01134 -0.00719
DIMOUSD 0.003990.01022 -0.00624
XDCUSD 0.003650.00928 -0.00562
SUIUSD 0.004010.00953 -0.00552

Foreign exchange

KWDEUR was the most central name, carrying 7.26× the influence of an average node across 647 pairs.

pairs
647
Density
0.019
Clustering
0.321
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KWDEUR 1 0.01122 7.26× 6.3% 3.4% CDFUSD, EURBHD, SZLGBP, GBPLSL, ZAREGP
PENCOP 2 0.00926 5.99× 7.0% 3.1% THBUSD, CHFMYR, TWDKRW, KRWUSD, DKKPHP
DKKRUB 3 0.00831 5.37× 4.3% 1.4% CHFMYR, ZARNGN, CHFSZL, XAGMXN, XAGZAR
THBEUR 4 0.00786 5.08× 4.8% 2.0% CDFGBP, GBPCDF, CDFUSD, JPYRSD, ISKCHF
ZARTRY 5 0.00745 4.82× 12.1% 6.0% XAUAUD, XAUGBP, XAGAUD, XAGEUR, GBPBRL
MADAUD 6 0.00671 4.34× 3.1% 1.7% LBPUSD, EUROMR, NZDKRW, AEDAUD, AUDKRW
NOKAED 7 0.00637 4.12× 2.0% 2.0% RUBPLN, CNYJPY, SGDTHB, GBPTHB, SCRGBP
CHFPKR 8 0.00637 4.12× 0.9% 2.8% CHFTHB, SGDNOK, EURNOK, NOKGBP, AUDNOK
NZDTHB 9 0.00635 4.11× 2.9% 0.5% NOKZAR, JPYTHB, SEKZAR
ZARIDR 10 0.00608 3.93× 10.2% 2.3% PENCOP, GBPPLN, NZDIDR, CZKPLN, NZDPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-09-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KWDEUR 0.011220.00261 +0.00861
THBEUR 0.007860.00073 +0.00712
ZARTRY 0.007450.00115 +0.00631
ZARIDR 0.006080.00045 +0.00563
BRLMXN 0.005780.00044 +0.00534

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURRUB 0.003400.01122 -0.00783
USDPGK 0.001380.00858 -0.00720
COPBRL 0.003970.01019 -0.00622
ILSJPY 0.001250.00715 -0.00590
RUBUSD 0.000620.00607 -0.00545

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.