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Daily network digest

Monday, September 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.14× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.143
Clustering
0.353
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.01256 4.14× 53.8% 14.9% REPV2USD, APEUSD, CHRUSD, BTCGBP, FOXUSD
XRPBTC 2 0.01157 3.82× 53.2% 20.4% OSMOUSD, BOBAUSD, XDCUSD, XCNUSD, LCXUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01153 3.80× 41.3% 11.2% MULTIUSD, EULUSD, JUNOUSD, HDXUSD, PRIMEUSD
MULTIUSD 4 0.01134 3.74× 42.9% 26.7% DYDXUSD, DNTUSD, GNOUSD, CTXUSD, KEEPUSD
REPUSD 5 0.01037 3.42× 44.7% 21.6% RADUSD, IMXUSD, SGBUSD, AVTUSD, DEXTUSD
PAXGUSD 6 0.01025 3.38× 48.6% 26.4% NKNUSD, SDNUSD, XDCUSD, GNOUSD, IMXUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.01022 3.37× 45.6% 26.4% BNTUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, STGUSD, ADXUSD
SUIUSD 8 0.00953 3.14× 38.9% 12.5% GNOUSD, AVTUSD, KP3RUSD, INVUSD, ALPHAUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.00928 3.06× 40.4% 14.3% SUIUSD, BATUSD, GFIUSD, ASTRUSD, RADUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00872 2.88× 38.0% 27.4% NEXOUSD, BSXUSD, ADAUSD, ETH2XUSD, UOSUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.012560.00385 +0.00871
MULTIUSD 0.011340.00689 +0.00445
SUIUSD 0.009530.00508 +0.00445
PAXGUSD 0.010250.00636 +0.00389
ETH2XUSD 0.006110.00275 +0.00336

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.009280.01486 -0.00558
BTCJPY 0.001630.00675 -0.00512
MOONUSD 0.002450.00628 -0.00383
JSTUSD 0.003810.00760 -0.00379
UMAUSD 0.002160.00581 -0.00365

Foreign exchange

EURRUB was the most central name, carrying 7.18× the influence of an average node across 640 pairs.

pairs
640
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.356
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EURRUB 1 0.01122 7.18× 6.1% 3.8% GBPETB, ETBUSD, ZARUGX, ETBGBP, NGNUSD
COPBRL 2 0.01019 6.52× 10.6% 3.0% DKKRUB, XAUBRL, JPYMXN, ZARCZK, ZARNZD
USDPGK 3 0.00858 5.49× 10.8% 4.2% BWPGBP, MXNBRL, LRDGBP, ZARMAD, BWPUSD
ILSJPY 4 0.00715 4.58× 5.3% 7.7% RUBEUR, BRLRSD, ETBUSD, MUREUR, ARSCHF
SGDJPY 5 0.00691 4.42× 10.0% 5.0% USDNOK, NZDMXN, XAUBRL, MXNAUD, AUDMXN
XAUBRL 6 0.00609 3.90× 9.5% 7.8% XAUJPY, XAGTRY, XAGBRL, XAGCAD, ZARILS
RUBUSD 7 0.00607 3.88× 0.6% 0.2% CHFRUB
SEKNOK 8 0.00602 3.85× 7.0% 5.6% NZDMXN, XAUZAR, XAUUSD, XAUSAR, CLPBRL
XAGBRL 9 0.00589 3.77× 8.1% 7.0% DKKMXN, MXNDKK, JPYMXN, MXNAUD, AUDMXN
CHFRUB 10 0.00556 3.56× 0.3% 0.2% RUBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURRUB 0.011220.00391 +0.00731
USDPGK 0.008580.00130 +0.00729
ILSJPY 0.007150.00071 +0.00645
COPBRL 0.010190.00450 +0.00569
CHFRUB 0.005560.00027 +0.00529

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.001150.00991 -0.00876
BRLJPY 0.000310.00603 -0.00571
SCRGBP 0.002480.00776 -0.00528
BRLCOP 0.000580.00562 -0.00504
USDKES 0.001170.00593 -0.00476

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.