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Daily network digest

Friday, September 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.97× the influence of an average node across 329 assets.

assets
329
Density
0.142
Clustering
0.348
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.01207 3.97× 54.6% 19.5% BOBAUSD, OSMOUSD, XDCUSD, XRDUSD, HFTUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01188 3.91× 41.5% 9.5% MULTIUSD, EULUSD, ETHBTC, BLZUSD, HDXUSD
DIMOUSD 3 0.01105 3.63× 48.2% 24.4% BNTUSD, ACHUSD, STGUSD, TLOSUSD, MKRUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.01080 3.55× 47.6% 16.8% REPV2USD, APEUSD, KRLUSD, CHRUSD, BSXUSD
REPUSD 5 0.01068 3.51× 44.2% 19.5% IMXUSD, RADUSD, MLNUSD, SGBUSD, PHAUSD
MULTIUSD 6 0.01053 3.47× 38.1% 27.4% DNTUSD, CTXUSD, DYDXUSD, DYDXEUR, TIMEUSD
PAXGUSD 7 0.01007 3.31× 46.3% 26.8% SDNUSD, NKNUSD, XDCUSD, IMXUSD, SEIUSD
XDCUSD 8 0.00928 3.05× 38.4% 15.9% SUIUSD, XRDUSD, KINUSD, ETH2XUSD, RADUSD
SUIUSD 9 0.00880 2.89× 33.5% 10.4% KP3RUSD, GNOUSD, INVUSD, AVTUSD, ALPHAUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00859 2.83× 37.8% 23.5% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, PHAUSD, MUSEUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.010800.00365 +0.00715
PAXGUSD 0.010070.00590 +0.00417
SUIUSD 0.008800.00465 +0.00415
ETH2XUSD 0.006580.00263 +0.00396
MULTIUSD 0.010530.00680 +0.00374

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000730.00948 -0.00874
BTCJPY 0.001520.00721 -0.00569
XDCUSD 0.009280.01477 -0.00549
MOONUSD 0.002080.00672 -0.00464
JSTUSD 0.003460.00668 -0.00322

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 6.44× the influence of an average node across 650 pairs.

pairs
650
Density
0.020
Clustering
0.323
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.00991 6.44× 11.6% 6.3% XAUAUD, XAGEUR, XAGAUD, GBPBRL, XAUGBP
SCRGBP 2 0.00776 5.04× 8.9% 2.3% USDSCR, GBPBHD, AUDAED, ILSJOD, USDMAD
NOKAED 3 0.00731 4.75× 3.2% 5.7% AUDPGK, GBPPGK, PGKGBP, LSLGBP, GBPSZL
PENCOP 4 0.00716 4.66× 8.3% 2.9% CHFMYR, THBUSD, TWDKRW, KRWUSD, ZARNZD
MADAUD 5 0.00643 4.18× 2.0% 1.2% EUROMR, CHFKRW, AUDKRW, NZDKRW, ZARSEK
KWDEUR 6 0.00634 4.12× 3.5% 2.5% CDFUSD, EURBHD, ZAREGP, CHFSZL, CADPEN
CHFPKR 7 0.00616 4.00× 1.1% 3.2% CHFTHB, GBPARS, CADTHB, KRWZAR, CADNOK
BRLJPY 8 0.00603 3.92× 1.8% 0.2% USDKES
USDKES 9 0.00593 3.85× 0.3% 0.2% CNYZAR
DKKRUB 10 0.00586 3.81× 4.6% 1.2% ZARNGN, CHFMYR, ARSEUR, XAGTRY, USDSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-09-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.009910.00223 +0.00768
BRLJPY 0.006030.00041 +0.00562
SCRGBP 0.007760.00229 +0.00547
TWDTHB 0.005820.00049 +0.00532
MADAUD 0.006430.00127 +0.00516

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.002320.00979 -0.00747
RUBNOK 0.001260.00755 -0.00629
ILSJPY 0.000710.00598 -0.00527
JPYMXN 0.000730.00593 -0.00521
KRWBRL 0.000590.00575 -0.00516

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.