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Daily network digest

Thursday, September 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.83× the influence of an average node across 327 assets.

assets
327
Density
0.146
Clustering
0.352
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01477 4.83× 55.2% 14.4% BNTUSD, GNOUSD, STORJUSD, SGBUSD, NKNUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01128 3.69× 35.9% 25.8% WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, RBCUSD, SUSHIUSD, FIDAUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.00948 3.10× 48.8% 36.8% POLISUSD, EGLDUSD, QTUMUSD, CGLDUSD, AUDIOUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00932 3.05× 35.9% 25.2% BTCJPY, EWTUSD, NYMUSD, LDOUSD, DOGEUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.00932 3.05× 39.9% 9.5% KILTUSD, RADUSD, VTHOUSD, XYOUSD, SHPINGUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00875 2.86× 38.0% 25.2% AGLDUSD, RBNUSD, RADUSD, XDCUSD, LUNAUSD
TRBUSD 7 0.00775 2.53× 39.9% 10.7% BTRSTUSD, AMPUSD, PHAUSD, JASMYUSD, REPUSD
DIMOUSD 8 0.00773 2.53× 33.7% 21.8% FXUSD, RENUSD, REPUSD, DUSKUSD, STGUSD
BLZUSD 9 0.00763 2.49× 35.6% 19.6% ROSEUSD, FILUSD, DIMOUSD, GTCUSD, RLCUSD
ROOKUSD 10 0.00727 2.38× 31.9% 22.4% VTHOUSD, EULUSD, NYMUSD, MEDIAUSD, XYOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.014770.00333 +0.01144
TSDUSD 0.009480.00200 +0.00747
BTCJPY 0.007210.00251 +0.00470
SHPINGUSD 0.009320.00465 +0.00468
TRBUSD 0.007750.00310 +0.00464

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CTXUSD 0.003630.01014 -0.00651
TEERUSD 0.003700.00977 -0.00607
BTRSTUSD 0.005300.01132 -0.00602
LTCBTC 0.005760.01029 -0.00453
EULUSD 0.004720.00878 -0.00406

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 6.27× the influence of an average node across 641 pairs.

pairs
641
Density
0.023
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00979 6.27× 3.0% 2.2% KRWBRL, INRSEK, CZKJPY, JPYCZK, ILSSEK
ARSBRL 2 0.00870 5.58× 9.5% 4.4% PLNEUR, PLNCHF, ARSCOP, PLNHUF, ARSPEN
COPBRL 3 0.00757 4.85× 11.3% 2.3% DKKRUB, ZARCZK, JPYMXN, ZARNZD, CZKZAR
RUBNOK 4 0.00755 4.84× 8.3% 3.8% NZDAED, GBPTHB, GBPSAR, USDMAD, AUDAED
DKKRUB 5 0.00742 4.76× 5.0% 3.4% XAGBRL, XAGCAD, XAGGBP, USDNOK, XAUMXN
GBPBRL 6 0.00720 4.62× 9.8% 0.9% DKKRUB, CLPBRL, ARSBRL, USDTHB, ZARTRY
BRLUSD 7 0.00711 4.55× 9.7% 0.9% DKKRUB, XAURUB, ARSBRL, XAGJPY, XAGGBP
CHFJPY 8 0.00680 4.36× 1.9% 0.2% COPMXN
XAGBRL 9 0.00599 3.84× 9.1% 6.7% JPYMXN, MXNDKK, DKKMXN, MXNJPY, MXNAUD
ILSJPY 10 0.00598 3.83× 2.8% 5.2% RUBEUR, BRLRSD, ARSCHF, BRLKRW, MUREUR

Rising influence vs 2024-09-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.009790.00272 +0.00706
CHFJPY 0.006800.00116 +0.00564
ARSBRL 0.008700.00341 +0.00529
ILSJPY 0.005980.00113 +0.00485
COPBRL 0.007570.00329 +0.00428

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTND 0.000300.00895 -0.00865
CNYZAR 0.000660.00663 -0.00598
RUBCHF 0.000530.00645 -0.00593
PENBRL 0.000980.00560 -0.00462
AUDSEK 0.001320.00589 -0.00458

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.