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Daily network digest

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.76× the influence of an average node across 332 assets.

assets
332
Density
0.161
Clustering
0.368
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01132 3.76× 43.8% 31.4% EWTUSD, APEUSD, GHSTUSD, GALAUSD, XRPBTC
LTCBTC 2 0.01029 3.42× 43.5% 15.1% NANOUSD, VTHOUSD, MASKUSD, TVKUSD, MUSEUSD
CTXUSD 3 0.01014 3.37× 44.7% 14.2% TOKEUSD, LSETHUSD, XMRUSD, TUSD, ARPAUSD
REPUSD 4 0.00982 3.26× 44.1% 10.9% DUSKUSD, BOSONUSD, WAXLUSD, CLVUSD, SGBUSD
TEERUSD 5 0.00977 3.24× 46.2% 20.5% KINUSD, BTRSTUSD, LITUSD, DEXTUSD, SHPINGUSD
HNTUSD 6 0.00902 2.99× 46.2% 21.5% 1INCHUSD, KRLUSD, LITUSD, UMAUSD, FORTHUSD
EULUSD 7 0.00878 2.91× 43.2% 16.9% RBCUSD, ASMUSD, NODLUSD, AERGOUSD, GARIUSD
ETHBTC 8 0.00844 2.80× 44.4% 30.8% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, LUNAUSD, DSHUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00842 2.79× 37.5% 48.6% RARIUSD, QIUSD, 00USD, ETHAUD, XYOUSD
MEDIAUSD 10 0.00754 2.50× 39.0% 10.6% EULUSD, SKLUSD, CTSIUSD, LMWRUSD, NYMUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.009770.00212 +0.00765
CTXUSD 0.010140.00390 +0.00624
MEDIAUSD 0.007540.00217 +0.00538
HNTUSD 0.009020.00453 +0.00449
ETHBTC 0.008440.00406 +0.00438

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MULTIUSD 0.003640.00998 -0.00634
DIMOUSD 0.004650.01051 -0.00586
TIMEUSD 0.005080.01062 -0.00554
PAXGUSD 0.004820.01030 -0.00549
SUIUSD 0.003750.00923 -0.00548

Foreign exchange

DKKRUB was the most central name, carrying 6.03× the influence of an average node across 651 pairs.

pairs
651
Density
0.023
Clustering
0.354
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DKKRUB 1 0.00926 6.03× 9.7% 5.5% BRLUSD, XAGTRY, PLNHUF, USDNOK, PLNEUR
ZARTND 2 0.00895 5.83× 1.7% 0.3% TWDPKR, NZDPKR
CNYZAR 3 0.00663 4.32× 1.4% 0.6% BRLCHF, BRLARS, JPYBRL, BRLEUR
RUBCHF 4 0.00645 4.20× 1.1% 0.3% RUBSEK, SEKRUB
CHFSZL 5 0.00625 4.07× 6.2% 1.5% MXNCOP, CHFBRL, MXNBRL, ZARMXN, USDMXN
ARSCOP 6 0.00613 3.99× 7.5% 7.1% USDKRW, PLNEUR, PLNHUF, PLNCHF, USDSEK
AUDSEK 7 0.00589 3.84× 6.0% 1.7% CHFCLP, MURGBP, ILSNOK, JPYNZD, CLPCHF
PENBRL 8 0.00560 3.65× 10.0% 2.2% PLNCZK, ARSCOP, CLPBRL, DKKRUB, NZDHUF
MXNARS 9 0.00521 3.39× 2.3% 0.2% CNYZAR
GBPZMW 10 0.00509 3.31× 3.8% 1.2% USDPGK, USDGHS, GBPSCR, USDSCR, AUDBRL

Rising influence vs 2024-09-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTND 0.008950.00028 +0.00867
AUDSEK 0.005890.00093 +0.00496
TWDPKR 0.004530.00028 +0.00425
ARSCOP 0.006130.00225 +0.00388
THBPKR 0.004300.00048 +0.00382

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLJPY 0.000450.00719 -0.00675
USDKES 0.000520.00676 -0.00624
ZARTRY 0.003950.01014 -0.00619
TWDTHB 0.000450.00582 -0.00537
KWDEUR 0.002090.00717 -0.00508

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.