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Daily network digest

Friday, September 13, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.18× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.145
Clustering
0.352
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01241 4.18× 48.2% 14.6% HDXUSD, STORJUSD, GNOUSD, SGBUSD, YGGUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01072 3.61× 35.7% 24.4% WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, AKTEUR, RBCUSD, KP3RUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01003 3.38× 41.1% 8.3% XRPBTC, HIGHUSD, PAXUSD, EWTUSD, LSETHUSD
TSDUSD 4 0.00955 3.22× 47.3% 36.6% CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, POLISUSD, QTUMUSD, AUDIOUSD
TRBUSD 5 0.00949 3.20× 50.0% 9.2% AMPUSD, PHAUSD, REPUSD, BTRSTUSD, BONDUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00926 3.12× 38.7% 19.3% SWFTCUSD, CVCUSD, XDCUSD, LINKUSD, KEYUSD
SHPINGUSD 7 0.00890 3.00× 36.3% 27.4% EWTUSD, MUSEUSD, NYMUSD, BTCJPY, DOTUSD
BLZUSD 8 0.00877 2.95× 37.8% 19.3% ROSEUSD, RLCUSD, DIMOUSD, QNTUSD, XRDUSD
MULTIUSD 9 0.00801 2.70× 33.6% 24.4% BANDUSD, DOGEUSD, KP3RUSD, CLVUSD, CHRUSD
DIMOUSD 10 0.00744 2.51× 33.0% 18.8% FXUSD, TRUUSD, TRBUSD, RENUSD, REPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.012410.00376 +0.00864
TSDUSD 0.009550.00193 +0.00762
TRBUSD 0.009490.00294 +0.00655
KRLUSD 0.010030.00466 +0.00537
BLZUSD 0.008770.00374 +0.00502

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.002840.01124 -0.00841
DESOUSD 0.002760.00902 -0.00627
BTRSTUSD 0.005640.01178 -0.00614
CTXUSD 0.005110.01013 -0.00503
EULUSD 0.003610.00818 -0.00457

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 7.80× the influence of an average node across 660 pairs.

pairs
660
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.331
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01181 7.80× 11.5% 6.2% XAGEUR, DKKRUB, XAGAUD, XAUAUD, GBPBRL
SCRGBP 2 0.00821 5.42× 6.5% 2.4% DKKCOP, USDSCR, COPDKK, EURRUB, USDMAD
DKKRUB 3 0.00740 4.88× 6.8% 1.4% ZARNGN, CHFMYR, ARSEUR, USDSEK, XAGMXN
IDRZAR 4 0.00728 4.80× 3.6% 3.6% GBPSAR, NZDINR, AUDINR, EURSAR, INRZAR
PENCOP 5 0.00688 4.54× 7.0% 2.7% THBUSD, CHFMYR, KRWUSD, TWDKRW, GBPPHP
CHFPKR 6 0.00669 4.41× 0.6% 2.1% CADNOK, AUDNOK, EURNOK, NOKEUR, SGDNOK
SEKZAR 7 0.00619 4.09× 2.7% 1.1% CHFJPY, AUDNZD, GBPAUD, GBPNOK, ILSNOK
ZARIDR 8 0.00597 3.94× 9.7% 2.3% PENCOP, CZKPLN, GBPPLN, PLNGBP, NZDPLN
AUDMAD 9 0.00574 3.79× 3.8% 2.0% ZARCNY, BWPZAR, ZARBWP, GBPBHD, DKKTRY
NZDHUF 10 0.00574 3.79× 4.1% 0.2% ZARTRY

Rising influence vs 2024-09-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.011810.00257 +0.00925
SCRGBP 0.008210.00263 +0.00558
SEKZAR 0.006190.00107 +0.00512
IDRZAR 0.007280.00231 +0.00496
CHFPKR 0.006690.00191 +0.00478

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001300.00877 -0.00747
EURRUB 0.002440.00784 -0.00540
COPBRL 0.002500.00751 -0.00501
PLNILS 0.002810.00757 -0.00476
JPYMXN 0.001320.00594 -0.00462

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.