catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.96× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.155
Clustering
0.352
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01178 3.96× 42.7% 31.0% EWTUSD, GHSTUSD, XRPBTC, BTTUSD, APEUSD
TEERUSD 2 0.01124 3.78× 49.9% 16.7% KINUSD, BTRSTUSD, LITUSD, DEXTUSD, ENJUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.01019 3.43× 43.3% 11.9% TVKUSD, KILTUSD, MASKUSD, SBRUSD, MUSEUSD
CTXUSD 4 0.01013 3.41× 43.9% 14.6% TOKEUSD, PRQUSD, LSETHUSD, XMRUSD, ARPAUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00902 3.03× 43.3% 29.0% NKNUSD, BLZUSD, FORTHUSD, PHAUSD, WOOUSD
ETHBTC 6 0.00887 2.98× 47.2% 29.6% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, DSHUSD, LUNAUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00848 2.85× 37.6% 11.9% DUSKUSD, CLVUSD, BOSONUSD, WAXLUSD, HBARUSD
KINUSD 8 0.00845 2.84× 35.2% 44.5% 00USD, QIUSD, RARIUSD, NYMUSD, HOPRUSD
EULUSD 9 0.00818 2.75× 40.0% 22.4% RBCUSD, NODLUSD, ASMUSD, NMRUSD, QIUSD
HNTUSD 10 0.00794 2.67× 42.1% 20.6% LITUSD, LDOUSD, ROOKUSD, INVUSD, 1INCHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011240.00209 +0.00915
CTXUSD 0.010130.00415 +0.00598
MEDIAUSD 0.007850.00240 +0.00545
HNTUSD 0.007940.00355 +0.00439
ETHBTC 0.008870.00455 +0.00433

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.004380.01187 -0.00749
MULTIUSD 0.003890.01098 -0.00709
TIMEUSD 0.005680.01180 -0.00612
KRLUSD 0.004660.01076 -0.00610
XDCUSD 0.003760.00949 -0.00573

Foreign exchange

USDPGK was the most central name, carrying 5.66× the influence of an average node across 646 pairs.

pairs
646
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.358
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDPGK 1 0.00877 5.66× 8.7% 2.6% BWPGBP, LRDGBP, ZARBRL, MXNBRL, BRLHKD
ARSBRL 2 0.00868 5.60× 7.8% 5.0% ARSCOP, ARSPEN, PLNHUF, PLNEUR, PLNCHF
NZDAED 3 0.00811 5.24× 7.4% 6.2% EURAED, ILSUSD, AEDNZD, ILSAED, EURBHD
EURRUB 4 0.00784 5.06× 7.1% 3.7% PLNILS, ILSPLN, ARSCAD, HKDARS, AUDARS
GBPBRL 5 0.00782 5.05× 9.6% 1.2% ARSBRL, DKKRUB, CLPBRL, USDTHB, XAGTRY
BRLUSD 6 0.00770 4.97× 9.5% 0.6% DKKRUB, XAURUB, ARSBRL, XAGGBP
PLNILS 7 0.00757 4.89× 6.8% 3.6% ILSPLN, USDMAD, ZARBRL, BRLZAR, USDSZL
COPBRL 8 0.00751 4.85× 4.7% 2.0% ZMWUSD, BRLRSD, USDZMW, USDUYU, BRLCAD
DKKRUB 9 0.00688 4.44× 5.7% 4.7% XAGBRL, XAGCAD, XAGGBP, USDNOK, NZDMXN
ILSJOD 10 0.00668 4.31× 3.1% 3.3% ZARPKR, AEDSEK, RUBNOK, CNYZAR, PKRZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-09-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.008680.00201 +0.00666
EURRUB 0.007840.00240 +0.00543
BRLUSD 0.007700.00272 +0.00498
COPBRL 0.007510.00260 +0.00491
GBPBRL 0.007820.00300 +0.00482

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.001430.01116 -0.00973
COPUSD 0.002220.00711 -0.00489
ZARTND 0.000300.00470 -0.00439
EURBRL 0.000440.00457 -0.00413
AUDJPY 0.000430.00447 -0.00404

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.