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Daily network digest

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XDCUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.22× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.148
Clustering
0.356
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XDCUSD 1 0.01257 4.22× 51.0% 13.1% GNOUSD, HDXUSD, ZECUSD, IMXUSD, FLRUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01170 3.93× 45.7% 8.1% RADUSD, PAXUSD, XYOUSD, HIGHUSD, TRXUSD
REPUSD 3 0.01044 3.51× 35.8% 21.5% PNKUSD, RBCUSD, WAXLUSD, AKTEUR, AIRUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00943 3.17× 37.9% 24.5% AGLDUSD, AVAXUSD, DOGEUSD, KEYUSD, RADUSD
TRBUSD 5 0.00937 3.15× 48.4% 11.6% BONDUSD, TEERUSD, AMPUSD, REPUSD, GSTUSD
TSDUSD 6 0.00929 3.12× 48.1% 37.9% POLISUSD, EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, AUDIOUSD, SDNUSD
SHPINGUSD 7 0.00907 3.05× 38.2% 22.4% NYMUSD, EWTUSD, BTCJPY, CROUSD, DOTUSD
BLZUSD 8 0.00862 2.90× 38.8% 17.0% ROSEUSD, PUNDIXUSD, DIMOUSD, RLCUSD, LRCUSD
DIMOUSD 9 0.00840 2.82× 38.2% 19.4% RENUSD, ENSUSD, DUSKUSD, XRTUSD, TRUUSD
BTCJPY 10 0.00783 2.63× 30.1% 34.6% NEXOUSD, QNTUSD, EGLDUSD, LTCUSD, XRPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XDCUSD 0.012570.00340 +0.00917
TSDUSD 0.009290.00210 +0.00719
KRLUSD 0.011700.00461 +0.00709
TRBUSD 0.009370.00321 +0.00616
BTCJPY 0.007830.00258 +0.00525

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.003340.01161 -0.00827
DESOUSD 0.002610.00932 -0.00671
BTRSTUSD 0.005190.01189 -0.00670
LTCBTC 0.005320.01052 -0.00520
CTXUSD 0.004920.01001 -0.00509

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 7.41× the influence of an average node across 660 pairs.

pairs
660
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.341
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01122 7.41× 11.1% 6.1% GBPBRL, DKKRUB, XAGEUR, ARSEUR, XAUAUD
SCRGBP 2 0.00803 5.30× 6.5% 2.4% USDSCR, INRTHB, AEDEUR, EURTHB, EURRUB
DKKRUB 3 0.00775 5.11× 6.1% 1.4% ZARNGN, CHFMYR, ARSEUR, XAGMXN, BRLCLP
PENCOP 4 0.00731 4.82× 7.4% 3.0% CHFMYR, KRWUSD, TWDKRW, THBUSD, ZARNZD
IDRZAR 5 0.00692 4.57× 3.6% 3.6% EURSAR, NZDINR, GBPSAR, AUDINR, ZARBWP
CHFPKR 6 0.00653 4.31× 0.6% 2.1% EURNOK, NOKEUR, ZARSGD, AUDNOK, AUDTHB
SEKZAR 7 0.00619 4.08× 2.9% 1.1% CHFJPY, AUDNZD, NOKGBP, GBPAUD, GBPNOK
ZARIDR 8 0.00588 3.88× 9.9% 2.4% PENCOP, CZKPLN, PLNGBP, NZDIDR, GBPPLN
NZDHUF 9 0.00570 3.76× 4.1% 0.2% ZARTRY
USDSCR 10 0.00535 3.53× 4.7% 2.3% ILSPLN, CHFINR, ILSUSD, CHFCNY, USDRWF

Rising influence vs 2024-09-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.011220.00243 +0.00879
SCRGBP 0.008030.00213 +0.00590
CHFPKR 0.006530.00111 +0.00541
SEKZAR 0.006190.00105 +0.00513
NZDHUF 0.005700.00111 +0.00459

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNBRL 0.001240.00767 -0.00643
JPYCLP 0.000560.00682 -0.00626
RUBDKK 0.000420.00636 -0.00594
SEKNOK 0.001580.00744 -0.00586
ILSJPY 0.000710.00652 -0.00582

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.