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Daily network digest

Monday, September 9, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.00× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.157
Clustering
0.360
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01189 4.00× 43.3% 32.8% EWTUSD, GHSTUSD, AXSUSD, XRPBTC, LDOUSD
TEERUSD 2 0.01161 3.90× 49.0% 17.3% KINUSD, ENJUSD, BTRSTUSD, LITUSD, UNIUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.01052 3.53× 42.4% 11.3% NANOUSD, SBRUSD, MASKUSD, KILTUSD, SUPERUSD
CTXUSD 4 0.01001 3.36× 45.1% 11.6% TOKEUSD, PROUSD, XMRUSD, TLOSUSD, ZECUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00932 3.13× 45.4% 26.9% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, XYOUSD, RBCUSD, KEEPUSD
KINUSD 6 0.00909 3.05× 40.3% 46.3% QIUSD, HOPRUSD, DASHUSD, 00USD, XYOUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.00869 2.92× 45.7% 28.4% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, LUNAUSD, BNCUSD, BSXUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00864 2.90× 39.4% 10.4% BOSONUSD, DUSKUSD, HBARUSD, WAXLUSD, LCXUSD
MEDIAUSD 9 0.00845 2.84× 41.5% 11.9% EULUSD, SKLUSD, POWRUSD, CTSIUSD, MVUSD
EULUSD 10 0.00793 2.67× 36.1% 17.6% RBCUSD, MATHUSD, HOPRUSD, BALUSD, ASMUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011610.00230 +0.00930
CTXUSD 0.010010.00447 +0.00554
MEDIAUSD 0.008450.00295 +0.00550
ETHBTC 0.008690.00415 +0.00454
HNTUSD 0.007600.00367 +0.00393

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MULTIUSD 0.004090.01111 -0.00702
DIMOUSD 0.004490.01094 -0.00645
XDCUSD 0.003400.00923 -0.00584
TIMEUSD 0.005690.01079 -0.00510
PAXGUSD 0.004650.00923 -0.00459

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 4.95× the influence of an average node across 641 pairs.

pairs
641
Density
0.022
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.00773 4.95× 11.1% 3.3% DKKRUB, CZKZAR, ZARCZK, XAGUSD, PENCOP
MXNBRL 2 0.00767 4.92× 3.8% 0.9% GBPFJD, FJDGBP, AUDFJD, MXNCOP, USDMXN
SEKNOK 3 0.00744 4.77× 6.6% 3.8% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAUZAR, XAUCNY, XAUINR
RUBNOK 4 0.00693 4.44× 7.5% 4.4% GBPTHB, NZDAED, GBPSAR, AUDAED, GBPBHD
JPYCLP 5 0.00682 4.37× 0.9% 1.6% ARSCLP, NZDTRY, JPYIDR, JPYGBP, AUDTRY
ILSJPY 6 0.00652 4.18× 2.7% 4.2% BRLRSD, RUBEUR, ARSCHF, MUREUR, MXNPEN
RUBDKK 7 0.00636 4.07× 0.5% 0.3% RUBSEK, NOKRUB
XAGBRL 8 0.00580 3.72× 8.6% 5.8% ZARILS, JPYMXN, COPBRL, XAGCAD, MXNJPY
XAUARS 9 0.00547 3.51× 0.6% 2.8% CHFIDR, JPYGBP, JPYSEK, JPYIDR, PHPJPY
ARSBRL 10 0.00540 3.46× 8.3% 4.8% ARSCOP, PLNCHF, PLNEUR, ARSPEN, PLNHUF

Rising influence vs 2024-09-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNBRL 0.007670.00129 +0.00638
JPYCLP 0.006820.00063 +0.00619
SEKNOK 0.007440.00139 +0.00605
RUBDKK 0.006360.00037 +0.00599
ILSJPY 0.006520.00077 +0.00576

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002430.01177 -0.00934
CHFPKR 0.001110.00806 -0.00694
SEKZAR 0.001050.00686 -0.00581
SCRGBP 0.002130.00753 -0.00540
CHFCLP 0.000400.00563 -0.00523

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.