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Daily network digest

Friday, September 6, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.82× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.158
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01138 3.82× 43.3% 27.8% GHSTUSD, EWTUSD, XRPBTC, AVAXUSD, ORNUSD
TEERUSD 2 0.01122 3.77× 47.8% 19.1% KINUSD, DEXTUSD, BTRSTUSD, BTCJPY, BOSONUSD
DESOUSD 3 0.01116 3.75× 54.0% 29.6% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, RBCUSD, XYOUSD, TONUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01001 3.36× 41.5% 8.4% MASKUSD, TVKUSD, NANOUSD, ANTUSD, XRDUSD
CTXUSD 5 0.00998 3.35× 44.8% 12.2% TOKEUSD, PROUSD, LSETHUSD, POWRUSD, MXCUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00875 2.94× 40.3% 10.1% DUSKUSD, BOSONUSD, TONUSD, LCXUSD, YGGEUR
ETHBTC 7 0.00845 2.84× 43.9% 30.4% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, LUNAUSD, ZECUSD, BSXUSD
KINUSD 8 0.00844 2.83× 37.3% 52.2% HOPRUSD, KSMUSD, BCHUSD, QIUSD, XYOUSD
MEDIAUSD 9 0.00837 2.81× 41.2% 12.2% EULUSD, MVUSD, CTSIUSD, SKLUSD, POWRUSD
NODLUSD 10 0.00835 2.80× 39.4% 19.7% ZECUSD, GNOUSD, PUNDIXUSD, RARIEUR, LSETHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-09-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011220.00224 +0.00898
MEDIAUSD 0.008370.00276 +0.00561
CTXUSD 0.009980.00456 +0.00542
ETHBTC 0.008450.00386 +0.00459
HNTUSD 0.007130.00311 +0.00402

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MULTIUSD 0.004120.01063 -0.00651
DIMOUSD 0.004370.01084 -0.00647
TIMEUSD 0.004360.01072 -0.00636
XDCUSD 0.003730.00854 -0.00481
PAXGUSD 0.004720.00908 -0.00437

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 7.74× the influence of an average node across 657 pairs.

pairs
657
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.327
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01177 7.74× 12.5% 5.8% GBPBRL, DKKRUB, XAUAUD, XAGAUD, XAGEUR
CHFPKR 2 0.00806 5.29× 0.6% 2.1% ZARSGD, CADNOK, AUDTHB, NOKEUR, AUDNOK
DKKRUB 3 0.00775 5.09× 6.6% 1.2% ZARNGN, CHFMYR, ARSEUR, JPYMYR, XAGMXN
SCRGBP 4 0.00753 4.95× 6.6% 2.3% USDSCR, EURTHB, AEDEUR, AEDDKK, INRTHB
PENCOP 5 0.00724 4.75× 7.2% 3.4% KRWUSD, CHFMYR, TWDKRW, THBUSD, AUDPHP
IDRZAR 6 0.00696 4.58× 3.7% 3.8% AUDINR, EURSAR, GBPSAR, NZDINR, ZARBWP
SEKZAR 7 0.00686 4.51× 2.9% 0.9% CHFJPY, NOKGBP, GBPNOK, EURMXN, ILSNOK
USDSCR 8 0.00623 4.09× 4.6% 2.3% CHFINR, ILSPLN, ILSUSD, USDRWF, KWDUSD
MXNCZK 9 0.00593 3.90× 1.5% 0.8% TWDTHB, BRLAUD, COPMXN, USDBRL, BRLCOP
ZARIDR 10 0.00572 3.76× 9.6% 2.7% PENCOP, CZKPLN, PLNGBP, NZDIDR, GBPPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-09-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.011770.00265 +0.00913
CHFPKR 0.008060.00186 +0.00620
SEKZAR 0.006860.00123 +0.00563
MXNCZK 0.005930.00038 +0.00555
CHFCLP 0.005630.00037 +0.00526

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.001350.00780 -0.00645
PLNILS 0.002650.00826 -0.00560
EURRUB 0.002230.00777 -0.00554
COPBRL 0.002500.00717 -0.00467
ARSBRL 0.004310.00894 -0.00464

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.