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Daily network digest

Thursday, September 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.64× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.156
Clustering
0.357
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01084 3.64× 50.7% 19.7% BNTUSD, MKRUSD, ACHUSD, TONUSD, QIUSD
TIMEUSD 2 0.01072 3.60× 50.1% 18.2% REPV2USD, STGUSD, ETH2XUSD, AVTUSD, BTCUSD
MULTIUSD 3 0.01063 3.57× 46.0% 24.8% DNTUSD, DYDXEUR, DYDXUSD, CTXUSD, MATHUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00955 3.21× 53.7% 21.2% BOBAUSD, OSMOUSD, RBNUSD, LCXUSD, XDCUSD
REPUSD 5 0.00941 3.16× 42.1% 18.2% IMXUSD, LCXUSD, SRMUSD, MLNUSD, BONDUSD
PAXGUSD 6 0.00908 3.05× 44.8% 26.3% SDNUSD, NKNUSD, PONDUSD, NMRUSD, CTSIUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.00854 2.87× 40.6% 12.5% DESOUSD, MCUSD, RADUSD, SUIUSD, KEYUSD
KINUSD 8 0.00829 2.78× 42.7% 27.2% ACSUSD, NEXOUSD, DIMOUSD, ETH2XUSD, GNOUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.00782 2.63× 37.3% 34.9% BTTUSD, COMPUSD, XCNUSD, LDOUSD, ADXUSD
KRLUSD 10 0.00779 2.62× 32.2% 11.9% MULTIUSD, PRIMEUSD, EULUSD, FETUSD, LTCBTC

Rising influence vs 2024-09-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.010720.00393 +0.00679
DESOUSD 0.007140.00276 +0.00438
HOPRUSD 0.005670.00155 +0.00413
PAXGUSD 0.009080.00525 +0.00384
ETH2XUSD 0.006600.00295 +0.00366

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000650.00852 -0.00787
BTCJPY 0.002230.00770 -0.00547
KRLUSD 0.007790.01314 -0.00536
REPUSD 0.009410.01439 -0.00499
BLZUSD 0.005120.00887 -0.00374

Foreign exchange

ARSBRL was the most central name, carrying 5.72× the influence of an average node across 639 pairs.

pairs
639
Density
0.020
Clustering
0.349
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSBRL 1 0.00894 5.72× 8.0% 4.2% PLNCHF, PLNHUF, ARSCOP, ARSPEN, PLNEUR
PLNILS 2 0.00826 5.28× 8.3% 4.2% ILSPLN, USDPGK, BRLZAR, INRTHB, USDSZL
GBPBRL 3 0.00788 5.03× 9.6% 1.1% CLPBRL, DKKRUB, ARSBRL, USDTHB, XAGTRY
USDPGK 4 0.00780 4.98× 8.9% 2.7% LRDGBP, BWPGBP, ZARBRL, BRLHKD, MXNBRL
BRLUSD 5 0.00780 4.98× 9.7% 0.8% DKKRUB, ARSBRL, XAURUB, CLPBRL, XAGGBP
EURRUB 6 0.00777 4.96× 7.2% 3.0% PLNILS, ILSPLN, USDRWF, HKDARS, SGDARS
COPBRL 7 0.00717 4.58× 4.7% 2.2% BRLRSD, ZMWUSD, BRLCAD, USDUYU, USDZMW
NZDAED 8 0.00677 4.32× 6.4% 6.4% EURAED, ILSUSD, EURTHB, AEDNZD, USDPKR
DKKRUB 9 0.00652 4.16× 5.8% 3.4% XAGBRL, XAGCAD, USDNOK, XAGGBP, SEKILS
ILSJOD 10 0.00642 4.10× 3.3% 2.8% ZARPKR, AEDSEK, MXNARS, RUBNOK, PKRZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-09-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.008940.00193 +0.00701
EURRUB 0.007770.00272 +0.00504
GBPBRL 0.007880.00292 +0.00496
BRLUSD 0.007800.00286 +0.00494
COPBRL 0.007170.00258 +0.00459

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.001540.00856 -0.00702
COPUSD 0.001630.00695 -0.00531
ZARTND 0.000300.00476 -0.00446
EURBRL 0.000490.00475 -0.00426
ARSCOP 0.003430.00758 -0.00415

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.