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Daily network digest

Friday, August 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TEERUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.18× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.165
Clustering
0.364
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TEERUSD 1 0.01234 4.18× 53.8% 24.0% DEXTUSD, KINUSD, SHPINGUSD, LITUSD, BTCJPY
DESOUSD 2 0.01174 3.98× 58.3% 29.0% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, XYOUSD, RBCUSD, SDNUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01149 3.90× 47.6% 28.7% EWTUSD, AXSUSD, XRPBTC, GMXUSD, AVAXUSD
DVFUSD 4 0.01111 3.77× 53.3% 10.7% NYMUSD, API3USD, LCXUSD, CVCUSD, REPUSD
EULUSD 5 0.00984 3.33× 50.0% 16.6% NODLUSD, BOBAUSD, GARIUSD, DESOUSD, MIRUSD
NODLUSD 6 0.00971 3.29× 46.7% 20.1% CVXUSD, PUNDIXUSD, HNTUSD, MOVRUSD, AAVEUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00933 3.16× 42.3% 10.7% TONUSD, USTUSD, BCHEUR, BONDUSD, BCHGBP
CTXUSD 8 0.00851 2.89× 42.3% 10.7% TOKEUSD, ARPAUSD, PROUSD, GALUSD, TUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.00816 2.76× 48.2% 27.2% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, LUNAUSD, ETCUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00810 2.75× 38.2% 44.7% KSMUSD, TUSD, FLOWUSD, MLNUSD, HOPRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.012340.00231 +0.01003
NODLUSD 0.009710.00381 +0.00590
DESOUSD 0.011740.00692 +0.00482
EULUSD 0.009840.00547 +0.00437
BTRSTUSD 0.011490.00747 +0.00402

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.004560.01139 -0.00683
MULTIUSD 0.003410.00921 -0.00580
TIMEUSD 0.004100.00976 -0.00566
DIMOUSD 0.004840.01010 -0.00526
KILTUSD 0.003960.00882 -0.00485

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 9.34× the influence of an average node across 662 pairs.

pairs
662
Density
0.017
Clustering
0.326
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01410 9.34× 12.0% 5.4% DKKRUB, SGDJPY, XAUAUD, ARSEUR, XAUCAD
KWDEUR 2 0.01216 8.05× 5.9% 2.6% EURBHD, CDFUSD, USDMWK, SZLGBP, GBPSZL
NOKAED 3 0.00862 5.70× 3.2% 3.8% CNYJPY, RUBPLN, SARJPY, AUDZAR, CADZAR
RUBNOK 4 0.00848 5.61× 3.8% 2.4% RUBPLN, ZARPKR, PKRZAR, GBPKWD, CNYZAR
ZARTND 5 0.00791 5.24× 2.0% 0.2% NZDPKR
THBEUR 6 0.00733 4.85× 3.8% 1.7% GBPCDF, CDFGBP, CDFUSD, ISKCHF, USDMWK
NZDPKR 7 0.00700 4.63× 0.2% 0.3% GBPMVR, ZARTND
DKKRUB 8 0.00668 4.42× 5.6% 0.9% CHFMYR, ARSEUR, ZARNGN, USDSEK, JPYMYR
EUROMR 9 0.00643 4.26× 5.7% 6.2% KWDEUR, ARSZAR, BHDEUR, EURBHD, LSLUSD
SCRUSD 10 0.00621 4.11× 4.8% 2.6% RWFZAR, ZARRWF, CNYKRW, USDMAD, KESZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-08-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.014100.00136 +0.01275
KWDEUR 0.012160.00222 +0.00994
ZARTND 0.007910.00055 +0.00736
THBEUR 0.007330.00059 +0.00674
NOKAED 0.008620.00198 +0.00664

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.001550.01290 -0.01135
USDPGK 0.000960.00867 -0.00771
ARSBRL 0.004150.01185 -0.00770
KRWBRL 0.000690.00625 -0.00556
BRLUSD 0.003630.00859 -0.00496

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.