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Daily network digest

Thursday, August 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.86× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.153
Clustering
0.354
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.01139 3.86× 50.9% 18.9% SDNUSD, HNTUSD, LPTUSD, IMXUSD, SEIUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01126 3.82× 45.3% 15.1% IMXUSD, MLNUSD, AVTUSD, CRVUSD, REQUSD
DIMOUSD 3 0.01010 3.42× 46.2% 15.7% ACHUSD, BNTUSD, LQTYUSD, MKRUSD, LMWRUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.00976 3.31× 44.4% 17.5% CHRUSD, REPV2USD, STGUSD, APEUSD, FOXUSD
DVFUSD 5 0.00973 3.30× 51.2% 14.5% QTFUSD, NYMUSD, REPUSD, PAXUSD, RADUSD
NYMUSD 6 0.00930 3.15× 39.9% 12.7% DARUSD, NMRUSD, XRDUSD, CVXUSD, SCRTUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00929 3.15× 42.6% 17.5% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, AVTUSD, MNDEUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.00925 3.13× 52.4% 9.8% BOBAUSD, RBNUSD, XDCUSD, HMTUSD, LCXUSD
MULTIUSD 9 0.00921 3.12× 39.9% 29.9% MKRUSD, DNTUSD, SHPINGUSD, KEEPUSD, MATHUSD
KILTUSD 10 0.00882 2.99× 38.2% 31.4% FLRUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHAUD, BONDUSD, LTCBTC

Rising influence vs 2024-08-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KILTUSD 0.008820.00331 +0.00551
PAXGUSD 0.011390.00610 +0.00529
INTRUSD 0.008000.00356 +0.00444
HOPRUSD 0.006310.00216 +0.00415
ETH2XUSD 0.006330.00235 +0.00398

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000750.00893 -0.00818
TRBUSD 0.003840.01096 -0.00712
REPUSD 0.011260.01637 -0.00511
KRLUSD 0.006570.01137 -0.00480
TLOSUSD 0.002210.00668 -0.00447

Foreign exchange

COPBRL was the most central name, carrying 8.20× the influence of an average node across 636 pairs.

pairs
636
Density
0.021
Clustering
0.342
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPBRL 1 0.01290 8.20× 2.5% 0.9% PENCOP, ZARKRW, ZARUSD, ZARILS, ZARNOK
ARSBRL 2 0.01185 7.53× 8.8% 4.9% ARSCOP, PLNCHF, PLNEUR, ARSPEN, PLNHUF
USDPGK 3 0.00867 5.51× 8.8% 3.9% LRDGBP, BWPGBP, GBPBWP, MXNCOP, GBPMWK
BRLUSD 4 0.00859 5.46× 9.0% 0.8% DKKRUB, XAURUB, ARSBRL, XAGGBP, XAGCAD
GBPBRL 5 0.00853 5.42× 9.1% 0.8% ARSBRL, DKKRUB, XAGCAD, XAURUB, XAGGBP
EURRUB 6 0.00798 5.08× 6.8% 2.2% USDRWF, EURAED, ARSCAD, KWDAED, GBPKZT
DKKRUB 7 0.00738 4.69× 5.8% 3.5% XAGBRL, XAGGBP, SEKILS, NZDPLN, XAGCAD
XAURUB 8 0.00640 4.07× 5.2% 7.7% MXNSGD, GBPMXN, SGDMXN, MXNGBP, MXNJPY
ZARNOK 9 0.00632 4.02× 3.8% 0.5% COPBRL, EURIDR, CLPBRL
KRWBRL 10 0.00625 3.98× 4.9% 0.5% JPYCZK, CZKJPY, CLPGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-08-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPBRL 0.012900.00155 +0.01135
ARSBRL 0.011850.00229 +0.00956
BRLUSD 0.008590.00293 +0.00566
GBPBRL 0.008530.00314 +0.00539
EURRUB 0.007980.00295 +0.00503

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EUROMR 0.001530.00890 -0.00737
ARSCOP 0.003900.00926 -0.00536
EURJOD 0.000440.00434 -0.00391
ZARTRY 0.001360.00525 -0.00389
AUDSEK 0.001250.00512 -0.00388

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.