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Daily network digest

Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.55× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.157
Clustering
0.367
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01637 5.55× 53.8% 21.6% RBCUSD, PNKUSD, XYOUSD, WAXLUSD, TVKUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01390 4.71× 58.0% 9.8% QTFUSD, CELRUSD, XTZUSD, FLRUSD, LTCBTC
KRLUSD 3 0.01137 3.85× 46.4% 12.7% EWTUSD, LTCBTC, RADUSD, UMAUSD, XDCUSD
TRBUSD 4 0.01096 3.71× 57.1% 18.3% REPUSD, GSTUSD, PHAUSD, SCUSD, AMPUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00985 3.34× 46.2% 18.3% ACAUSD, ATOMUSD, RADUSD, CROUSD, CVCUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.00982 3.33× 43.8% 11.8% GNOUSD, FLRUSD, IMXUSD, STORJUSD, BNTUSD
BLZUSD 7 0.00925 3.14× 45.6% 23.7% GALUSD, PUNDIXUSD, DIMOUSD, HIGHUSD, QTUMUSD
TSDUSD 8 0.00893 3.03× 47.6% 37.3% POLISUSD, CGLDUSD, AUDIOUSD, EGLDUSD, ETCUSD
SHPINGUSD 9 0.00889 3.01× 40.2% 28.4% NYMUSD, SOLUSD, EWTUSD, DOTUSD, RAREUSD
DIMOUSD 10 0.00765 2.59× 39.9% 17.5% BONDUSD, RENUSD, QTMUSD, FXUSD, HFTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.016370.00794 +0.00843
TRBUSD 0.010960.00381 +0.00715
TSDUSD 0.008930.00224 +0.00668
KRLUSD 0.011370.00496 +0.00640
XDCUSD 0.009820.00385 +0.00597

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.002240.01286 -0.01063
DESOUSD 0.003430.01240 -0.00896
EULUSD 0.002580.01007 -0.00749
NODLUSD 0.002810.00948 -0.00667
BTRSTUSD 0.005770.01209 -0.00632

Foreign exchange

ARSCOP was the most central name, carrying 5.99× the influence of an average node across 647 pairs.

pairs
647
Density
0.020
Clustering
0.331
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ARSCOP 1 0.00926 5.99× 7.6% 6.5% DKKRUB, USDKRW, JPYNOK, MXNJPY, NOKJPY
EUROMR 2 0.00890 5.76× 3.4% 3.4% KWDEUR, ZARMWK, EURBHD, GBPAMD, AMDGBP
DKKRUB 3 0.00816 5.28× 5.9% 4.3% USDNOK, GBPNGN, AUDUSD, ZARNGN, NZDUSD
KRWMYR 4 0.00643 4.16× 9.1% 1.1% CHFTWD, CHFIDR, GBPBRL, ZARIDR, BRLUSD
KWDEUR 5 0.00608 3.93× 4.6% 4.8% EURKWD, USDMWK, USDDJF, KESZAR, SAREUR
ZARHUF 6 0.00559 3.62× 3.3% 1.5% NZDSGD, NZDHKD, BRLAUD, ZARAUD, THBAUD
USDPGK 7 0.00549 3.55× 6.0% 3.7% GBPBWP, BWPUSD, BWPGBP, USDBWP, EGPJPY
MXNPEN 8 0.00545 3.52× 8.2% 2.3% MADZAR, RUBEUR, BRLHKD, GBPFJD, AUDFJD
ZARTRY 9 0.00525 3.40× 8.7% 7.6% XAUMXN, ARSEUR, SGDJPY, BRLCLP, XAUSAR
BRLCOP 10 0.00523 3.38× 4.3% 2.2% ZARHKD, USDBRL, COPMXN, ZARCHF, AUDSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-08-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSCOP 0.009260.00241 +0.00686
USDPGK 0.005490.00073 +0.00476
AUDSEK 0.005120.00090 +0.00422
ZARHUF 0.005590.00138 +0.00421
EURJOD 0.004340.00049 +0.00385

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.005250.01358 -0.00833
KWDEUR 0.006080.01203 -0.00595
THBEUR 0.001670.00762 -0.00595
TWDTHB 0.000510.00607 -0.00556
NOKZAR 0.000660.00594 -0.00528

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.