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Daily network digest

Thursday, August 8, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.83× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.156
Clustering
0.367
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01439 4.83× 53.1% 22.7% RBCUSD, XYOUSD, WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, XCNUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01353 4.55× 57.9% 12.8% CELRUSD, QTFUSD, FLRUSD, ALCXUSD, BOBAUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01193 4.01× 49.6% 10.4% TRXUSD, XRPBTC, LTCBTC, UMAUSD, RADUSD
TRBUSD 4 0.01122 3.77× 58.2% 14.9% PHAUSD, GSTUSD, RADUSD, AMPUSD, TEERUSD
BLZUSD 5 0.00928 3.12× 45.1% 23.9% PUNDIXUSD, DIMOUSD, GALUSD, AIRUSD, ROSEUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00911 3.06× 44.2% 20.3% CVCUSD, ACAUSD, JSTUSD, AKTUSD, ATOMUSD
TSDUSD 7 0.00899 3.02× 48.4% 38.5% POLISUSD, CGLDUSD, ARBUSD, EGLDUSD, SYNUSD
XDCUSD 8 0.00882 2.96× 45.7% 11.3% GNOUSD, IMXUSD, STORJUSD, BNTUSD, SHPINGUSD
TLOSUSD 9 0.00871 2.93× 35.5% 14.9% DEXTUSD, MUSEUSD, QNTUSD, AERGOUSD, LCXUSD
MULTIUSD 10 0.00858 2.88× 39.4% 31.6% AERGOUSD, LTCEUR, LTCAUD, PNKUSD, ICXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REPUSD 0.014390.00673 +0.00766
TRBUSD 0.011220.00381 +0.00741
TSDUSD 0.008990.00180 +0.00719
KRLUSD 0.011930.00475 +0.00718
XDCUSD 0.008820.00369 +0.00512

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.003250.01229 -0.00903
EULUSD 0.002240.01119 -0.00895
DESOUSD 0.003900.01180 -0.00790
NODLUSD 0.002140.00719 -0.00506
MVUSD 0.002320.00735 -0.00503

Foreign exchange

BRLUSD was the most central name, carrying 9.06× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.020
Clustering
0.328
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BRLUSD 1 0.01422 9.06× 9.1% 0.5% XAGCAD, XAGGBP, XAGEUR
ARSZAR 2 0.00864 5.50× 1.9% 1.9% RUBEUR, EURAED, PENUSD, CADPEN, ILSJPY
XAGCAD 3 0.00815 5.19× 5.7% 4.9% ZARNGN, XAUMXN, MXNPLN, USDSEK, NZDHUF
MXNBRL 4 0.00763 4.86× 2.2% 0.2% ARSZAR
GBPBRL 5 0.00732 4.66× 4.4% 0.2% XAGTRY
RUBNOK 6 0.00720 4.58× 8.6% 3.9% NZDAED, USDMAD, AUDAED, GBPKZT, USDBIF
XAUBRL 7 0.00706 4.49× 9.3% 6.3% XAUJPY, XAGBRL, XAGCAD, XAGINR, RONZAR
XAGTRY 8 0.00696 4.43× 1.4% 2.7% XAUMXN, ZARNGN, XAUCNY, JPYMXN, MXNJPY
MXNPLN 9 0.00693 4.42× 9.3% 3.0% MXNJPY, JPYMXN, PLNMXN, USDTHB, GBPMXN
XAGGBP 10 0.00617 3.93× 3.1% 3.6% MXNJPY, XAURUB, JPYMXN, XAUCNY, CHFMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-08-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLUSD 0.014220.00126 +0.01296
ARSZAR 0.008640.00121 +0.00743
GBPBRL 0.007320.00044 +0.00688
XAGTRY 0.006960.00103 +0.00593
XAGCAD 0.008150.00225 +0.00591

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.001120.00691 -0.00579
USDCOP 0.001630.00661 -0.00498
ZARMYR 0.001910.00560 -0.00369
ZARTRY 0.001520.00490 -0.00338
GBPCLP 0.000510.00381 -0.00330

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.