catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, August 7, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.53× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.163
Clustering
0.365
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01647 5.53× 70.4% 15.8% LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, API3USD, REPUSD, CVCUSD
TEERUSD 2 0.01229 4.13× 49.3% 22.4% LITUSD, SHPINGUSD, BTCJPY, ENJUSD, KINUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01207 4.05× 46.9% 29.3% EWTUSD, ALGOUSD, GHSTUSD, AVAXUSD, ILVUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.01180 3.96× 56.1% 26.0% NKNUSD, BLZUSD, XYOUSD, RBCUSD, NEXOUSD
EULUSD 5 0.01119 3.76× 53.1% 17.0% BOBAUSD, GARIUSD, MAGICUSD, MKRUSD, BCHEUR
XRPBTC 6 0.00893 3.00× 43.3% 19.4% UMAUSD, IMXUSD, DOGEUSD, DVFUSD, XDCUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.00858 2.88× 49.3% 29.6% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, STGUSD, LUNAUSD, ZECUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00810 2.72× 41.2% 21.5% TVKUSD, BALUSD, ASTUSD, SUPERUSD, XRDUSD
MVUSD 9 0.00735 2.47× 38.2% 28.1% ARBUSD, TEERUSD, GNOUSD, ATOMUSD, OGNUSD
NODLUSD 10 0.00719 2.42× 37.3% 21.8% ZECUSD, PUNDIXUSD, CVXUSD, DVFUSD, HNTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.012290.00210 +0.01018
DVFUSD 0.016470.00678 +0.00969
EULUSD 0.011190.00497 +0.00622
BTRSTUSD 0.012070.00707 +0.00500
NODLUSD 0.007190.00330 +0.00389

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.003950.01395 -0.01000
INTRUSD 0.003030.01084 -0.00781
PAXGUSD 0.004620.01166 -0.00704
NYMUSD 0.004310.01026 -0.00595
MULTIUSD 0.003680.00958 -0.00590

Foreign exchange

KRWMYR was the most central name, carrying 4.64× the influence of an average node across 645 pairs.

pairs
645
Density
0.019
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRWMYR 1 0.00719 4.64× 9.2% 0.0%
AUDSEK 2 0.00691 4.46× 4.0% 1.2% JPYNZD, CHFJPY, ILSNOK, AUDMAD, ZARHUF
USDCOP 3 0.00661 4.26× 1.1% 0.5% BRLPEN, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
ZARMYR 4 0.00560 3.61× 8.7% 4.5% MXNUSD, MXNCHF, SEKNOK, BRLCLP, JPYMXN
ZARMXN 5 0.00540 3.49× 4.0% 2.0% ZARDKK, CHFKRW, ZMWZAR, ARSEUR, COPUSD
XAURUB 6 0.00508 3.28× 6.5% 6.4% XAGKRW, MXNJPY, USDNOK, MXNDKK, GBPMXN
USDMWK 7 0.00503 3.24× 7.0% 5.0% ILSUSD, ILSAED, NZDZAR, AUDZAR, MWKZAR
ZARTRY 8 0.00490 3.16× 7.1% 5.7% XAUMXN, SGDJPY, BRLCLP, XAUINR, XAUKRW
XAUJPY 9 0.00478 3.08× 9.9% 3.9% XAGKRW, XAGUSD, XAGINR, XAGAUD, XAGZAR
CLPARS 10 0.00474 3.06× 1.1% 0.6% HUFPLN, EURARS, AUDTRY, PENARS

Rising influence vs 2024-08-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.006910.00044 +0.00647
USDCOP 0.006610.00205 +0.00456
ZARMXN 0.005400.00121 +0.00419
JPYAUD 0.004040.00031 +0.00373
PENCOP 0.004400.00096 +0.00345

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.004900.01626 -0.01136
SEKZAR 0.001020.00840 -0.00738
NOKAED 0.004030.01035 -0.00632
KWDEUR 0.001930.00723 -0.00530
NZDHUF 0.001110.00606 -0.00495

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.