catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.71× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.176
Clustering
0.378
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01405 4.71× 68.9% 19.2% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, RBCUSD, XYOUSD, FORTUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01164 3.90× 59.0% 16.5% CVCUSD, LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, REPUSD, TEERUSD
TEERUSD 3 0.01150 3.85× 51.2% 18.9% UNIUSD, LITUSD, ENJUSD, SHPINGUSD, KINUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01017 3.41× 46.1% 29.0% ORNUSD, ERNUSD, EWTUSD, XRPBTC, ILVUSD
EULUSD 5 0.01002 3.36× 53.0% 20.4% BOBAUSD, BCHGBP, GARIUSD, BCHEUR, DESOUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00799 2.68× 42.5% 18.9% DVFUSD, XDCUSD, FXUSD, ADAUSD, UMAUSD
KINUSD 7 0.00776 2.60× 38.0% 43.7% SCRTUSD, KSMUSD, FLOWUSD, BCHUSD, THETAUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00773 2.59× 41.3% 19.8% TVKUSD, QIUSD, XRDUSD, GNOUSD, BALUSD
REPUSD 9 0.00760 2.55× 38.6% 16.8% CQTUSD, DEXTUSD, SGBUSD, BCHEUR, LCXUSD
GALUSD 10 0.00747 2.50× 43.7% 11.1% TEERUSD, ZENUSD, POLISUSD, CFGUSD, JUNOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011500.00396 +0.00754
EULUSD 0.010020.00345 +0.00658
GALUSD 0.007470.00252 +0.00494
DESOUSD 0.014050.00914 +0.00491
HDXUSD 0.005500.00203 +0.00347

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.004280.01423 -0.00996
INTRUSD 0.002720.00956 -0.00684
KILTUSD 0.002880.00880 -0.00591
PAXGUSD 0.004540.01037 -0.00583
TIMEUSD 0.005630.01108 -0.00545

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 9.92× the influence of an average node across 635 pairs.

pairs
635
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.295
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01562 9.92× 7.7% 5.4% XAUAUD, SGDJPY, XAUCAD, CLPAUD, XAGAUD
KWDEUR 2 0.01014 6.44× 5.8% 2.5% EURKWD, EURBHD, CDFUSD, USDMWK, MWKUSD
RUBNOK 3 0.00987 6.27× 4.1% 2.5% PKRZAR, JPYZAR, ZARPKR, BRLSEK, USDSCR
EUROMR 4 0.00792 5.03× 7.3% 7.1% KWDEUR, EURPHP, ARSJPY, MWKUSD, ARSZAR
CLPARS 5 0.00757 4.81× 1.1% 0.8% TRYJPY, NZDTRY, AUDTRY, XAUARS, CLPCNY
NOKAED 6 0.00681 4.33× 3.5% 3.5% AEDDKK, GBPKWD, AEDSEK, GBPOMR, AEDNOK
BRLAUD 7 0.00679 4.31× 1.6% 0.3% BRLMXN, BRLCOP
TWDTHB 8 0.00679 4.31× 4.6% 0.5% BRLPEN, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
BRLCLP 9 0.00667 4.23× 6.3% 1.3% XAGTRY, TWDKRW, THBUSD, DKKNOK, KRWUSD
NZDHUF 10 0.00632 4.01× 3.9% 0.2% ZARTRY

Rising influence vs 2024-07-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.015620.00258 +0.01304
KWDEUR 0.010140.00230 +0.00784
TWDTHB 0.006790.00040 +0.00639
RUBNOK 0.009870.00420 +0.00567
NOKZAR 0.005910.00049 +0.00542

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKNOK 0.001950.00934 -0.00739
XAUCNY 0.001590.00888 -0.00729
SEKINR 0.000790.00743 -0.00664
COPMXN 0.003170.00982 -0.00664
THBUSD 0.002310.00747 -0.00516

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.