catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, July 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.74× the influence of an average node across 333 assets.

assets
333
Density
0.164
Clustering
0.369
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01423 4.74× 63.0% 14.8% QNTUSD, MKRUSD, LMWRUSD, BNTUSD, WILDUSD
TIMEUSD 2 0.01108 3.69× 50.6% 19.6% STGUSD, FOXUSD, CHRUSD, APEUSD, BSXUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.01037 3.45× 52.7% 16.3% IMXUSD, LPTUSD, NEOUSD, SKLUSD, HBARUSD
INTRUSD 4 0.00956 3.18× 48.8% 30.7% KAVAUSD, DOTUSD, VETUSD, ARBUSD, TUSD
REPUSD 5 0.00947 3.16× 43.7% 20.5% IMXUSD, CRVUSD, REQUSD, MLNUSD, EWTUSD
NYMUSD 6 0.00925 3.08× 41.9% 14.8% XRDUSD, DARUSD, ABTUSD, FARMUSD, INDEXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00921 3.07× 43.4% 16.0% BNTUSD, ELAUSD, RNDRUSD, AERGOUSD, MNDEUSD
DESOUSD 8 0.00914 3.04× 45.8% 28.9% VOXELUSD, BTCAUD, DIMOUSD, GTCUSD, LTCBTC
KILTUSD 9 0.00880 2.93× 41.9% 37.7% CBETHUSD, MASKUSD, BONDUSD, ETHUSD, KP3RUSD
MULTIUSD 10 0.00774 2.58× 39.2% 31.9% MATHUSD, GODSUSD, DNTUSD, CTXUSD, MKRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.014230.00687 +0.00737
TIMEUSD 0.011080.00427 +0.00682
INTRUSD 0.009560.00388 +0.00568
DESOUSD 0.009140.00375 +0.00539
ETH2XUSD 0.007270.00265 +0.00462

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TLOSUSD 0.002240.00817 -0.00593
BTCJPY 0.002040.00730 -0.00526
KRLUSD 0.006720.01186 -0.00514
KINTUSD 0.003720.00708 -0.00336
MNDEUSD 0.003170.00632 -0.00315

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.80× the influence of an average node across 591 pairs.

pairs
591
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.349
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00982 5.80× 2.5% 2.2% CZKJPY, GBPPEN, PENGBP, JPYCZK, SGDNOK
SEKNOK 2 0.00934 5.52× 5.4% 2.4% COPUSD, PLNSEK, SEKPLN, PLNNOK, NOKPLN
XAUCNY 3 0.00888 5.25× 4.4% 2.4% XAUSAR, XAUUSD, XAGCAD, XAUINR, XAUZAR
THBUSD 4 0.00747 4.41× 1.4% 1.2% CADSEK, SEKJPY, SEKINR, DKKPKR, MXNUSD
SEKINR 5 0.00743 4.39× 2.0% 0.8% GBPZAR, ZARNZD, CZKZAR, DKKZAR, ZARCZK
EURRUB 6 0.00716 4.23× 6.8% 2.9% ARSCAD, ARSCHF, ARSJPY, KWDAED, BRLHKD
XAURUB 7 0.00693 4.10× 3.4% 2.7% FJDUSD, USDFJD, XAUUSD, ZARIDR, CLPARS
ZARIDR 8 0.00639 3.78× 4.2% 1.5% XAGUSD, XAGJPY, XAGSAR, XAGBRL, XAGCNY
USDPGK 9 0.00580 3.43× 7.8% 3.9% USDBWP, ZARBWP, GBPBWP, BWPGBP, BWPUSD
COPUSD 10 0.00575 3.40× 2.2% 4.2% DKKRUB, NOKILS, ZARNZD, CZKZAR, ZARCZK

Rising influence vs 2024-07-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKNOK 0.009340.00132 +0.00802
COPMXN 0.009820.00207 +0.00774
XAUCNY 0.008880.00191 +0.00697
SEKINR 0.007430.00049 +0.00694
THBUSD 0.007470.00139 +0.00608

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002580.01271 -0.01014
CLPAUD 0.001170.00924 -0.00807
ZARTND 0.000310.00781 -0.00751
AUDCLP 0.000980.00814 -0.00716
DKKPKR 0.002990.00953 -0.00654

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.