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Daily network digest

Friday, July 12, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.00× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.169
Clustering
0.379
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01182 4.00× 52.2% 16.9% RBCUSD, AVTUSD, XYOUSD, PNKUSD, WAXLUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01178 3.98× 51.9% 9.8% EWTUSD, XRPBTC, RADUSD, AVTUSD, KEEPUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01009 3.41× 56.1% 37.1% POLISUSD, EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, SYNUSD, ARBUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00918 3.10× 46.0% 26.1% MATHUSD, MUSEUSD, RAREUSD, NYMUSD, SOLUSD
TLOSUSD 5 0.00833 2.82× 38.3% 16.3% MUSEUSD, LTCBTC, LSETHUSD, DEXTUSD, PROUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00800 2.70× 38.9% 17.5% CROUSD, XDCUSD, LCXUSD, POLSUSD, BNTUSD
BLZUSD 7 0.00798 2.70× 41.5% 43.3% FILUSD, PUNDIXUSD, INJUSD, CHZUSD, STXUSD
MULTIUSD 8 0.00755 2.55× 38.9% 29.4% REPUSD, MATHUSD, DOGEUSD, OSMOUSD, SUIUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.00736 2.49× 37.4% 23.1% ALPHAUSD, XRPBTC, LTCBTC, PNGUSD, XCNUSD
EWTUSD 10 0.00709 2.40× 35.3% 19.9% TRXUSD, RADUSD, FXSUSD, QIUSD, MULTIUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.011780.00250 +0.00929
TSDUSD 0.010090.00233 +0.00776
SHPINGUSD 0.009180.00359 +0.00559
TLOSUSD 0.008330.00314 +0.00519
REPUSD 0.011820.00736 +0.00446

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.004740.01447 -0.00973
TEERUSD 0.001820.01053 -0.00871
EULUSD 0.002920.00928 -0.00636
BNCUSD 0.001660.00558 -0.00391
NODLUSD 0.001380.00506 -0.00368

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 8.18× the influence of an average node across 660 pairs.

pairs
660
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.305
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01239 8.18× 5.2% 3.9% GBPBRL, XAUAUD, SGDJPY, XAUCAD, XAUGBP
CLPAUD 2 0.00762 5.03× 3.8% 0.0%
EURCOP 3 0.00681 4.49× 1.4% 0.3% EURMWK, PKREUR
CLPARS 4 0.00672 4.43× 3.6% 3.8% XAGJPY, GBPBRL, TRYPLN, GBPZAR, XAGGBP
AUDCLP 5 0.00621 4.10× 4.6% 0.5% ILSZAR, LKRZAR, MXNZAR
RUBEUR 6 0.00612 4.04× 3.3% 1.5% GBPCDF, CDFGBP, USDMWK, SCRUSD, ARSCHF
GBPBRL 7 0.00592 3.91× 2.9% 2.3% NOKSEK, DKKRUB, SEKNOK, XAGCAD, XAGTRY
AEDNOK 8 0.00585 3.86× 2.3% 1.8% ILSPLN, IDRZAR, ILSEUR, CADARS, ARSUSD
USDMAD 9 0.00571 3.77× 8.8% 2.6% USDKHR, SCRGBP, ARSMXN, MWKGBP, GBPMWK
NZDHUF 10 0.00554 3.66× 3.3% 0.2% ZARTRY

Rising influence vs 2024-07-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.012390.00399 +0.00840
EURCOP 0.006810.00123 +0.00558
GBPBRL 0.005920.00068 +0.00524
XAUEUR 0.005190.00075 +0.00444
CLPBRL 0.005400.00123 +0.00417

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPLYD 0.001000.00792 -0.00692
CLPGBP 0.000300.00635 -0.00604
ZMWUSD 0.002650.00780 -0.00515
COPMXN 0.002870.00792 -0.00505
USDPGK 0.001560.00611 -0.00455

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.